Friday At 6:00 PM MDT.
Severe Thunderstorms On Friday.
An approaching strong shortwave on Friday combined with an approaching Pacific cold front from the west, and a stalled cold front draped across Southeastern New Mexico and West Texas, and the dryline extending south from a surface low near Clines Corners will all combine to set the stage for a Severe Weather Outbreak Friday afternoon and evening. All this as a strong jet stream lies overhead providing good directional and speed shear. Decent mixed layer cape values and instability will also add to the mix.
Southeastern New Mexico will be in the "triple point area" which a highly favored location for severe thunderstorms to form. Scattered thunderstorms are forecast to fire up Friday afternoon and quickly become severe.
Large hail, locally heavy rainfall which may lead to localized flash flooding will be the primary severe weather threats. Along with a few tornadoes. Our severe weather season like last year is going to kick off early this year.
The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction - And Sometimes It Hurts!