Welcome To Southeast New Mexico Weather.

June 6, 2025. Developing Supercell. Looking North From Lovington, NM.  Say Goodbye To The Rain & Hello To The Heat. Our recent stretch of wet and relatively cool weather was nice given the time of the year, but this is going away by the weekend.  Overall, high temps across the state will average some 5 to 11 degrees above normal today into the first of next week. Highs across southern New Mexico and the southeastern plains will be in the 100 to 105 range Friday into next Tuesday. Hit and miss thunderstorms will break out over the eastern one-half of the state today and Friday. A few of these may become marginally severe and produce large hail, damaging thunderstorm winds, frequent lightning, and locally heavy rainfall.  From the central mountain chain westward, thunderstorm coverage will be more isolated and of the drier nature.   As we march deeper into our meteorological summer, the overall weather pattern will shift towards a monsoonal one. If lucky, we w...

SEL6 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 406 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 145 PM CDT Tue Jun 10 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southeast New Mexico Far West int West Texas * Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 145 PM until 900 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorm coverage is expected to increase over the next few hours as the airmass continues to destabilize. Steep mid-level lapse rates and moderate deep-layer shear will support supercells, with large to very large hail as the primary hazard. Over time, upscale growth into a convective line is possible, with this line then progressing southeastward into more of west Texas....

Me..Taken By My Wife On  November 2, 2024. Hello everyone. I just wanted to let you know that my Facebook page was shut down without any warning by Facebook this past Saturday, June 8th. All I was told was that I had violated their community standards. I don't know what triggered that; they didn't tell me. I was told this may be permanent or for six months.  My guess is that it may be because I posted several comments and articles from my Substack page about the riots in LA, and that must have triggered/angered someone, and they complained, thus Facebook shut me down. I don't know this as fact, though. I have appealed this decision, and I'm still waiting for their reply. I have read on X that this has happened to other Facebook users posting about the LA riots as well.  I always share my weather blog posts (that I post here) on my Facebook page and my X page. This included over twelve different New Mexico and West Texas Facebook Community sites. So there are thousands o...

June 5, 2025. Looking Northeast. Carlsbad, New Mexico. Scattered Severe T-Storms & Hot! Wash, rinse, repeat...today's weather will be a whole lot like yesterday's. Another round of severe thunderstorms is forecast across the eastern half of the state this afternoon and evening. Clusters of thunderstorms may form along or near the NM/TX state line this evening as they move eastward into West Texas. Again, the Storm Prediction Center is targeting the area from Tatum north to Clovis and east of Lubbock for the greatest risk of tornadoes...Enhanced Risk Area (Orange shade). A Slight Risk Area (Yellow shade) covers all of northeastern, eastern, and southeastern New < Mexico. Supercell thunderstorms will rule the afternoon and early evening. Tonight, several clusters of multicelluar thunderstorms will be possible.  Once again, all severe weather hazards will be in play in these areas, including: A few tornadoes, some maybe strong, large to very large hail, damaging thunderstor...

June 1, 2025. Mescalero Apache Indian Reservation. Between Ruidoso And Cloudcroft, New Mexico. Blof Updated At 10:49 AM MDT Thursday. Blog Updated At 10:15 AM MDT Thursday. Scattered Severe T-Storms Today Into Tonight! Rich low-level Gulf of America moisture has surged westward across the eastern one-half of New Mexico this morning and is backed up against the east slopes of the mountains. Jal is reporting a dew point temperature of 71F at 7:30 AM, the Artesia Airport 70F, and the rest of southeastern New Mexico has dew point temperatures in the mid to upper 60's. This is about as high as our dew point temperatures get. And yes, it is a very muggy morning.  A surface low was located just east of El Paso, with the dryline extending north and south from it along the east slopes of the mountains. A cold front was draped across far southeastern New Mexico and West Texas, extending southeastward from the surface low.  A shortwave will swing across the region today, aiding in lift a...

Courtesy Of Sherry Buchanan-Black. Scattered thunderstorms developed over and east of the Sacramento mountains on Thursday by noontime. A few of these became severe in the early afternoon. One of these thunderstorms became severe as it approached Carlsbad from the southwest. The Midland National Weather Service Office issued a Severe Thunderstorm Warning for East Central Eddy County at 2:53 PM MDT, including Carlsbad. The thunderstorm was moving eastward at only 10 mph and was located over the city.  Multiple Landspout tornadoes developed east and southeast of the city. I don't know exactly how many developed, but there were at least two of them side by side at times. Many people in and around Carlsbad saw them. Included in this blog post are but a few of the numerous photos and videos taken by the public of this event.  Based upon the numerous reports of Landspout tornadoes and the Severe Thunderstorm Warning that was issued for Carlsbad and surrounding areas, the Eddy County...

May 27, 2025. T-Storm At Sunset. Carlsbad, New Mexico. Blog Updated At 4:18 PM MDT, Wednesday, May 28, 2025. Scattered T-Storms Today Into Next Week - Some Severe! A backdoor cold front will slide southward into northeastern New Mexico this afternoon and then continue working its way southward and westward tonight into Thursday. Along with cooler temps behind this front, moist low-level easterly upslope flow will increase across the state from the mountains eastward.   A cutoff upper-level low will develop and park itself west of the Baja Peninsula Thursday into Sunday. By next Monday, the models lift this low northeastward to the Four Corners Region. A second upper-level low may replace the first low later next week.  A Tropical Disturbance located west of the central Mexican Pacific coast may develop into a Tropical Storm by this weekend. There is the possibility that the cutoff upper-level low over Baja will pick up some of its tropical moisture and import it into the ...

May 13, 2025. Looking West From The Carlsbad Beach. Altocumulus Standing Lenticular Clouds (ACSL). Thunderstorms & Cooler Next Week. High temperatures today, Friday, and Saturday across southeastern New Mexico are forecast to hit the century mark for the first time this year. Locally, our high temperatures will be 6 to 13 degrees above normal today into Sunday. Behind the cold front, our temps will average 4 to 12 degrees below normal Memorial Day into next Wednesday. A series of upper-level short-wave troughs of low pressure will traverse the region Sunday into the middle of next week. Meanwhile, a cold front will sag southward through New Mexico Sunday night into Memorial Day. The dryline will establish itself east of the mountains Sunday into Memorial Day as well. In fact, by next Tuesday and Wednesday, it will back west of the El Paso area. We normally don't see it this far west this early in the season. Increasing low-level southeasterly upslope flow from the Gulf of Ameri...

May 3, 2025. Virga Over The Sac's. Alamagordo, New Mexico. Calmer Weather Until The Weekend. Once again, high winds, blowing dust, and some road closures across the southern and southeastern sections of the state Tuesday and Wednesday. Multiple Dust Storm Warnings and Blowing Dust Advisories were issued for the area.  Our windy season refuses to give up this spring, and another bout comes this weekend into the first of next week.  Selected Highest Peak Wind Gusts Include: San Augustin Pass east of Las Cruces (Tuesday) 86 mph. White Sands Missile Range Bldg 1830 (Wednesday) 79 mph.  San Augustin Pass east of Las Cruces (Wednesday) 73 mph. Salinas Peak, northwest of Tularosa (Wednesday) 72 mph. El Paso International Airport (Tuesday) 71 mph. Sierra Blanca Regional Airport, northeast of Ruidoso (Wednesday) 61 mph. See the complete lists below.  In spite of our widespread rainfall recently, our extreme drought continues to persist with no immediate relief in sight. ...

May 5, 2025. Lake Arthur T-Storm With Hail Shafts. Cool With A Slight Chance Of T-Storms Into Thursday. Wow, some of the storm total snowfall amounts coming in from northern New Mexico would be impressive even in the dead of winter, much less the first week of May! A report of  34"  from a station 5 miles north of Chacon in Mora County tops the list so far.   An upper-level low is forecast to drop into southern Arizona tonight, then quickly swing eastward into far West Texas tomorrow. Enough low-level Gulf of America will get imported back into the area, along with increasing instability to kick off a few scattered rain showers and thunderstorms. Some of these storms may be severe across parts of far West Texas and the Big Bend Country tomorrow.  Scattered rain showers and T-Storms will favor the mountains of New Mexico into Saturday, then we dry out and warm up again. The 90's return to southeastern New Mexico by next Monday.  A Flood Watch remains in eff...

May 5, 2025. A Developing T-Storm  West Of Artesia, New Mexico. Wild Weather: The Past Three Days. Numerous thunderstorms developed over the state yesterday and continued well into the night. Many of these were severe, especially in southeastern New Mexico. Multiple reports of hail ranging from golf ball to tennis ball size were received in the La Huerta area of Carlsbad (Northeast and East Carlsbad). Other reports of pea-to-quarter-size hail came in across the city and north of town in the McNew Subdivision. Large hail also fell in other parts of the state. Two landspout tornadoes were also observed east of Carlsbad late yesterday afternoon.  Areas of blowing dust were reported across southwestern New Mexico yesterday afternoon and evening. Over the past three days, storm total rainfall amounts of 4" to 5" have occurred in northeastern and far southeastern New Mexico. Numerous reports of 1" to 2" of rain have been noted from the central mountain chain eastward over...

May 4, 2025. Lakewood Thunderstorm. Scattered Severe T-Storms Becoming Widespread & Numerous! This will likely be one of those wild, severe weather days that we usually would see late this month or in June. Scattered thunderstorms are forecast to develop this afternoon and quickly become severe. Stay weather aware and alert today into tonight. Have a plan to move to a place of safety if severe weather threatens your location. Have multiple ways to receive severe weather alerts.  The Google Play Store App: Red Cross Emergency App/Emergency Severe Weather is what I use on my phone. It works on Android phones and iPhones.  Late this afternoon and evening, scattered to numerous severe thunderstorms should become more widespread across southeastern New Mexico and across West Texas. Most of Lea County and the very eastern sections of Eddy County are included in the SPC Enhanced Risk area. The eastern half of Eddy, Chaves, and Roosevelt Counties is included in the Slight Risk are...

April 6, 2025. Sunset Peak On The Left. Capitan Peak On The Right. Looking Southwest From Northeast Of Roswell On St Hwy 246.  Here Comes The Rain & Snow. A southward-moving cold front has moved through most of New Mexico this morning with a cooler airmass in its wake. Low clouds have overspread the eastern one-half of the state in the moist low-level upslope flow behind the cold front.  Today's high temps behind the front will be some 10 to 20 degrees cooler than those of yesterday. High temperatures across the state will be some 5 to 15 degrees below normal early next week.  A complicated upper air pattern is developing with a strong and unseasonably cold closed mid-upper level low forecast by the European model to dive out of the Pacific Northwest into southern California by Sunday morning. It is then forecast to slowly wobble around Arizona Sunday into next Monday night. Then centered over the Four Corners area by early Tuesday morning. The low finally opens up an...

I took the two photos above 7 miles ENE of Halfway on US Hwy 62/180 between Carlsbad and Hobbs. Lots of quarter to hen egg size hail on the ground.  I took this photo in the one above in downtown Lovington after golf ball-sized hail stripped leaves off of trees and broke numerous windows in the town. Hail drifted all over town. I took this photo of tennis ball-sized hail 5 miles south of McDonald on State Hwy 206, south of Tatum in northern Lea County. I took this photo 9 miles northeast of Tatum on State Hwy 125. Nice end to my chase. My Lea County Storm Chase Video. The 2025 NM Severe Weather Season Is Off To A Fast Start. Severe thunderstorms are not unusual in northeastern, eastern, and southeastern New Mexico in April. Although they generally become more numerous and widespread in May and June. Some years we have a second severe weather season, which can occur from late August through October. Severe thunderstorms can occur in just about every month of the year in New Mex...

April 16, 2025. Alamagordo, New Mexico. A strong spring closed upper-level low was centered southwest of Portland, Oregon, early this morning. It is forecast to slowly drift to the south and southeast today into late this weekend, and by Sunday evening,g it should be located over northern Utah.  At the surface, the dryline had backed as far west as the eastern slopes of the Guadalupe, Sacramento, and Capitan mountains. With surface dew point temperatures about as rich as you get in April (mid to upper 60's). The dryline will mix eastward this afternoon to near the NM/TX State line. Then later this evening, back westward into southeastern New Mexico. A slow-moving cold front was draped over eastern and northeastern New Mexico this morning. It will sag a little further to the south before washing out Saturday afternoon.  Counties in eastern and southeastern New Mexico near the state line (Quay, Curry, Roosevelt, Chaves, Eddy, and Lea Counties) will have the best shot at seeing s...

Easter Sunday, April 20, 2025. Looking South From Alamagordo, New Mexico. Three days of high winds, blowing dust, and even mountain snow ended this past Saturday evening. Easter Sunday dawned cold with clear skies and calm winds. Moderate to heavy snow fell over the western and northern mountains as well as along and east of the Sandia and Manzano mountains. A storm total of 12.0" was reported in Gallup, and 9.6" was reported 4.8 miles east of Tijeras. A CoCoRaHS Station located 2.3 miles south of Cloudcroft reported a three-day snowfall total of 5.0", and the Cloudcroft NWS Climate Co-Op Station reported 5.0". Ruidoso reported a total of 1.0".  Westerly wind gusts of 50-65 mph were common across the state Thursday, Friday, and Saturday. The highest gusts recorded on Thursday include 81 mph 10 miles SSE of Magdalena,79 mph at the Las Vegas Airport, and 74 mph at the Raton Airport. The highest gusts recorded on Friday include 78 mph at San Augustin Pass east of ...

April 15, 2025. Virga Sunrise - Carlsbad, NM. I took my cover photo this morning from C-Hill in Carlsbad. A virga sunrise. Virga is precipitation that falls from the clouds and evaporates before reaching the ground. Streaks or trails of virga are common in New Mexico as was the case this morning. Numerous locations across New Mexico broke their daily record high temperatures this past Friday and Saturday (April 11th & 12th). Several established new daily record maximum minimum temperatures as well. I'm hoping that this isn't an early precursor to what this summer has in store for us. Wednesday through Friday looks nasty again with high winds, blowing dust, and critically dangerous fire weather conditions. High Watches have already been issued for parts of northeastern, eastern, south-central, and southern New Mexico for Thursday. Southwesterly winds are forecast to become sustained at around 30 to 40 mph with gusts in the 60 to 65 mph range. Additional High Wind Watches, W...

April 6, 2025  Capitan Mountains. Looking Southeast From St Hwy 246. Record April Heat Yesterday & Again Today. A week ago yesterday (Saturday afternoon, April 5th) light to moderate snow was falling at our home in Carlsbad with a temp of 33 and northeasterly winds gusting to 50 mph. I recorded a high temp here at our home in northwest Carlsbad of 99 Saturday afternoon. You gotta love New Mexico's (or not) crazy weather swings in the spring.  The official high at the Carlsbad Airport ASOS was 97 which broke their record high temp for the date of 93 set in 2018. The Carlsbad Climate Co-Op Station recorded a high of 96 in 2018. The Roswell Airport ASOS recorded a high temp Saturday afternoon of 95 which broke their previous record high for the date of 94 set in 2018.  Numerous other locations across New Mexico also broke their daily record high temps Saturday afternoon.  Rinse and repeat again this Sunday afternoon as another day of near to record-breaking heat is ...

April 6, 2025. Capitan Mountains. 30 Miles NW Of Roswell, NM. Winter took one more swat at New Mexico and left some impressive snowfall amounts. Several locations in the northern mountains measured a foot and a half while a foot to a foot and a half of snow fell east of Albuquerque along the east slopes of the Sandia and Manzano mountains.  The northeastern and eastern plains measured anywhere from 1" to 5" (the Clovis area). Several reporting stations measured nearly 2" of rain in the Clovis and Portales areas. Surprisingly, the Sacramento mountains missed out from this storm. 1" to 2.5" of snow fell in the Cloudcroft area. The Ruidoso area picked up a little more than a trace with Nogal getting a half of an inch. Precipitation totals ended up being less than a quarter of an inch is very disappointing considering the existing very high fire danger and ongoing drought conditions.  Runyan Ranches and Elk in southwestern Chaves County reported 1.5" to 4.5...