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Showing posts from 2025

Monsoonal T-Storms This Weekend Into The Middle Of Next Week.

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July 28, 2025. Dirt Road To Nowhere. Northwest Of Carlsbad, NM. Updated At 1:55 PM MDT Saturday, August 16, 2025.  Monsoonal T-Storms Continue. We are halfway through August, and gradually, we are losing daylight. By the end of the month, most of New Mexico will have lost about an hour of daylight. Most of the state will have cooled off roughly a degree or two by the end of the month when considering average daily high/low temperatures. Our meteorological fall begins September 1st, and I don't know about you, but I'm ready. Fall is my favorite time of the year in New Mexico.  From mid-August through the first of October, on average, is when most of us see our wettest time of the year...some in the state start in July. This is prime season for flash flooding, too. Many of the state's worst flash flood events occur during this time frame. Thankfully, the remnant tropical moisture from tropical disturbance AL98 I talked about in yesterday's blog, located off the Brownsvill...

Return Of The Monsoon Means More T-Storms & Flash Flooding!

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July 31, 2025. Looking Southeast From Hobbs. Dissipating T-Storm With Cumulonimbus Mammatus (CBMAM) Clouds.  The Rain Is Back. Another surge of monsoonal moisture northward out of Mexico is underway this morning. This will continue at least into the middle of next week. Increasing clouds, widely scattered to scattered showers and t-storms, and slightly cooler temps will be focused from the east slopes of the central mountain chain westward today. Scattered to numerous showers and t-storms will overspread more of the state this weekend into the first of next week. As has been the case all summer, once again the threat for brun scar flash flooding will be high today into next Tuesday. This includes the Hermit Peak/Calf Canyon burn scar in northern New Mexico and the Ruidoso burn scar complex.  Isolated and localized flash flooding will be possible elsewhere across the state whenever and wherever t-storms produce locally heavy rains in a short period of time.  There is a fly...

Weak Monsoon Means Widely To Scattered T-Storms & Slightly Cooler Temps.

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August 4, 2025.  Lea County Sunset. Halfway Between Carlsbad & Hobbs. Low temperatures across New Mexico this morning were above normal in many places. Numerous locations in southern, eastern, and southeastern New Mexico reported overnight lows in the 70's. While the Angel Fire Airport ASOS reported a chilly low of 34.  Friday afternoons highs were once again hot underneath a stout upper-level ridge of high pressure that has been centered over the state. The Roswell Airport ASOS reported a high of 106, which was one degree short of their record high for the date of 107 in 2011. Heat Advisories are in effect today for Chaves County and Central New Mexico. Heat Advisories are also in effect today for parts of southern New Mexico (Deming and El Paso areas).    Forecast high temps will be similar to yesterday's readings statewide this afternoon. A slight cooling trend is forecast for the area starting Sunday, continuing into the middle of next week. A weak cold fron...

Severe T-Storms -Heavy Rain/Flash Flooding Today & Saturday - Near Record Heat Next Week.

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July 30, 2025.  Artesia Tumble Weeds. July 30, 2025. Roswell Needle Grass. Two More Days Of Rain Then Here Comes The Heat! With the advent of our recent summer rains, the tumbleweed and needle grass pastures are faring very well in southeast New Mexico. So are the many different types of weeds in the state. Bad news for those who suffer from allergies this coming fall, winter, and spring. I'll still put up with them over the endless days of blowing dust we had this spring.  Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are forecast across parts of the state today into tomorrow before things calm down next week. Next week will be brutally hot in many areas, especially across the southern deserts and southeastern plains.  Severe thunderstorms will be possible in northeastern New Mexico today into this evening and again on Saturday. Burn scar flash flooding will once again torment the Ruidoso area. Flash flooding will also be possible in other areas of Lincoln County, across the north...

Numerous To Widespread Slow Moving T-Storms Will Produce Excessive Rainfall & Flash Flooding!

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July 28, 2025. Afternoon Monsoonal T-Storm. 15 Miles Southwest Of Artesia, NM.  Early Morning Double Rainbow In Ruidoso This Morning. Blog Updated At 3:27 PM MDT. Ruidoso Under The Gun Again! A monsoonal surge of moisture stretches across most of New Mexico this morning. This, combined with an inverted mid-level trough of low pressure stretching northward into southern New Mexico from northern Mexico, and a Mesoscale Convective Vortex (MCV)  located over southwestern New Mexico, helped to produce moderate to heavy rain over southern New Mexico overnight into this morning. A band of showers and thunderstorms are ongoing as of 9:30 AM MDT this Tuesday morning, stretching northward from southern New Mexico to the Colorado state line. A Facebook friend in Dell City, Texas, west of Guadalupe Pass, reported 4.50" overnight.  Another round of numerous to widespread thunderstorms is forecast across much of the state today into tonight. Like last night, some of these may last into...

Moonsonal Surge Brings Scattered To Numerous T-Storms & Flash Flooding Threats!

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June 6, 2025. Double Rainbow. NM/TX State Line - Northeast Of Tatum, NM.  Back To Hit & Miss T-Storms In SE NM This Week. A Flood Watch is in effect for today into this evening for portions of north-central and northeastern New Mexico.  A Flood Watch is in effect for today into late tonight for portions of central New Mexico, including the northern Sacramento Mountains. A Flood Watch  is in effect for today into late tonight for portions fo southwest and south-central New Mexico.  Strong thunderstorms rolled into El Paso yesterday afternoon and dumped 1" to 2" of rain in the southern part of the city, according to radar estimates. Localized flash flooding shut down I-10 for a while and backed up traffic. Not far away, the El Paso International Airport ASOS only recorded .28" of rainfall.  Monsoonal moisture will surge northward from northern Mexico into southwestern New Mexico and then northeastward across the state today into this week. Most locations out...

Drying Out Some & Hot But Monsoonal T-Storms Return Again Next Week.

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April 6, 2025. Looking Southwest From St Hwy 246. Sunset & Capitan Peaks - Capitan Mountains Of NM. Blog Updated At 5:31 PM MDT Friday, July 25, 2025.  We are deep into the "Dog Days of Summer." Outside of our summer monsoonal thunderstorms, this means that at the lower elevations, we are hot and our weather is fairly tranquil. Most of the time, anyway, outside of an occasional thunderstorm downpour.  Hot with highs in the upper 90's to near 100 is our weather story across the southeastern plains today through Sunday. With only a slight chance (10% to 20%) of a few hit-and-miss thunderstorms today.  A few isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms are forecast across the Sacramento mountains today and Saturday. By Sunday and Monday into the middle of next week, these slow-moving storms will be more numerous with an increase in locally heavy rainfall and flash flooding. Once again, the burn scars across the state, including the Ruidoso and Hermits Peak/Calf burn scar a...

My Chase Of A Tornadic Supercell Southwest Of Lubbock - 6-6-2025.

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My YouTube Link Of My Chase Video: On Friday, June 6th, 2025, I head east from Artesia, NM, to Lovington on US Hwy 82. My first photo below was taken just west of Lovington. I turn north out of Lovington and head towards Tatum on St Rd 206. Then I go north on St Rd 125 until I hit the NM/TX state line southwest of Bledsoe, Texas. From there, I work my way southeast along a series of Farm to Market roads and end up west of Sundown in Hockley County. I had been coming up from behind (to the south) of a developing supercell thunderstorm that first formed north of Tatum, then moved east into Cochran County. It quickly became a right mover once it entered Hockley County. I first encountered its developing wall cloud west of Sundown. I don’t know how many storm chasers were on this storm, but it had to be in the dozens. I begin to watch a strong rotation in the wall cloud a couple of miles to the west of Sundown on Farm to Market Rd 301. This rapidly rotating wall cloud produced a couple of ...

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