No White Christmas For New Mexico This Year.

November 17, 2025.
Hondo Valley East Of Ruidoso.

Winter - What Winter?

Over the past several weeks, there has been very little to talk about centered around our weather. Northern New Mexico has had a couple of winter storms so far, but nothing earth-shattering for sure. The rest of the state has been pretty much left high and dry, not to mention warmer to at times much warmer than normal. And dry as a bone.

For the foreseeable future, this is not going to change, at least through Christmas week and into the holiday weekend. Continued warm to abnormally warm and bone-dry conditions will be our theme for this year's upcoming Christmas holidays.  

A backdoor cold front will slide south and west tonight into Sunday morning, dropping our high temps across the eastern half of the state on Sunday down into the upper 40s to the mid-50s. These readings will be close to slightly below normal, but will quickly rebound next week to above normal, to much above normal. 

Keep in mind that the forecast high temperature maps I include in this blog post are meant to show the general trend of above-normal temps and will change by a few degrees, especially next week, as the models adjust their forecasts. 

After seeing near record to record high temps across parts of southeastern New Mexico this afternoon, we will repeat this again next Thursday, and into at least next Saturday. Highs are forecast to range from the mid-70s to near 80. Our high temps next week are forecast to be some 15 to nearly 25 degrees above normal. With zero chances for any type of precipitation. 

Breezy to windy conditions are forecast at times next week across the central highlands and parts of eastern New Mexico, with the windiest day expected to be Wednesday. 

Long-range outlooks call for a potential pattern change after Christmas, and I'll address that next week. 

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1216 PM MST Sat Dec 13 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1209 PM MST Sat Dec 13 2025

- Dry and unseasonably mild weather, outside of a cooler Sunday,
  persists through at least late next week across central and
  northern New Mexico.

- Breezy winds across the central highlands of eastern New Mexico
  next work week will create difficult crosswinds for large and
  high-profile vehicles. Strongest winds are expected on
  Wednesday.

&&
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
131 PM CST Sat Dec 13 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 121 PM CST Sat Dec 13 2025

- A strong cold front pushes in tonight, bringing brisk winds,
  cloudy skies, and much colder temperatures on Sunday.

- Warmer conditions return Monday onward.

&&
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
1006 AM MST Sat Dec 13 2025

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1005 AM MST Sat Dec 13 2025

 - Cold front arriving from the east Sunday morning, dropping
   temperatures about 5 to 15 degrees Sunday and Monday. Gusty
   east winds up to 30 mph along mountain west slopes Sunday
   morning.

 - Dry conditions and near record highs again through much of
   next week.

&&

 At 1 PM MST, Saturday, Dec 13, 2025.


National Blend Of Models (NBM) Forecast High Temps.

Low Temps Sunday Morning.


Forecast High Temperatures Sunday, December 14th.


Forecast High Temperatures Monday, December 15th.


Forecast High Temperatures Tuesday, December 16th.


Forecast High Temperatures Wednesday, December 17th.


Forecast High Temperatures Thursday, December 18th.


Forecast High Temperatures Friday, December 19th.


Forecast High Temperatures Saturday, Dec 20th.

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