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Quick Hitting Winter Storm Wednesday-Thursday.

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November 30, 2025. 
Final 2025 Fall Sunset.
Penasco River Ranch - Northeast Of Dunken, NM.

Warm, dry, southwesterly and westerly downsloping winds are forecast to gust up to around 40 to 50 mph across east-central New Mexico this afternoon. High temps across parts of the southeastern plains will climb up into the upper 60's to near 70.

A  mid-upper level shortwave trough of low pressure is forecast to dive southward into the Great Basin late today into Wednesday, before swinging eastward across New Mexico Wednesday night and Thursday.

A cold front will drop southward into northern New Mexico this afternoon and push slowly south through the state Wednesday night. Colder air will overspread the state behind it.

Winter Weather Advisories are in effect for parts of the Northern Mountains, the Central Highlands, and Northeastern New Mexico today through Thursday. Accumulating snowfall is expected across these areas, including the upper Rio Grande Valley, the northern and central mountains, the east slopes of the Sangre de Cristo, Sandia, and Manzano Mountains. 

Total accumulations of between 1" and 4" below 7,500', and between 4" and 8" above 7,500', with up to 10" over the higher peaks of the Sangre de Cristo mountains. 

Up to 21/2" is forecast for the central highlands, including I-40 between Moriarty and Santa Rosa, including Clines Corners. Current forecasts call for less than an inch in the Ruidoso and Cloudcroft areas, with a couple of inches at Ski Apache.

A chance for a light mix of rain and showers exists over the southeastern plains from roughly north of a line from Hondo, Roswell, and Tatum on Wednesday night. At this time (noon Tuesday), no accumulations are expected. 

As this next winter storm departs the area, gusty winds will affect the state, especially over the mountains and east Friday through the weekend. Strong northwesterly winds look to rake the southeastern plains and the Guadalupe Mountains this coming Saturday. Above normal temps and more dry weather return by next Monday. 

Long-range forecasts over the next two weeks call for above-normal temperatures and drier-than-normal conditions. 

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1124 AM CST Tue Dec 2 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1123 AM CST Tue Dec 2 2025

- Warming trend through midweek before another front knocks
  Thursday`s temperatures down well below normal again.

- Low (10-30%) precipitation chances Thursday. Snow flurries
  possible across southeast New Mexico and Guadalupe Mountains
  Thursday morning. Little to no accumulation along with no travel
  impacts are expected.

&&
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1102 AM MST Tue Dec 2 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1102 AM MST Tue Dec 2 2025

- A strong west and southwest crosswind will impact travel over
  east central areas this afternoon, then a potentially stronger
  northwest crosswind will impact travel over east central and
  southeast areas Saturday afternoon.

- Accumulating snow is expected across the northern and central
  mountains, upper Rio Grande Valley, and along the east slopes of
  the Sangre de Cristo, Sandia, and Manzano Mountains Wednesday
  afternoon through mid Thursday morning. This will result in a
  slick Thursday morning commute for these zones.

&&
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
1035 AM MST Tue Dec 2 2025

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1029 AM MST Tue Dec 2 2025

 - Dry conditions, daily warming, and marginal afternoon breezes
   through midweek.

 - A minor storm system passes just to our north early Thursday.
   Light precipitation will favor the Gila and Sacramento mountain
   zones with elsewhere staying dry. Temperatures will be around 5
   to 10 degrees cooler.

 - Dry conditions, typical breezes, and daily warming return for
   this weekend.

&&
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
955 AM MST Tue Dec 2 2025

NMZ212>216-227>229-030100-
/O.EXT.KABQ.WW.Y.0019.251203T1900Z-251204T1200Z/
Glorieta Mesa Including Glorieta Pass-Northern Sangre de Cristo
Mountains-Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-East Slopes Sangre
de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio Grande Valley-Johnson and Bartlett
Mesas Including Raton Pass-Far Northeast Highlands-Northeast
Highlands-
955 AM MST Tue Dec 2 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON WEDNESDAY TO 5 AM
MST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 1 and 4
  inches below 7500 feet, and between 4 and 8 inches above 7500
  feet. Locally up to 10 inches on the highest peaks of the Sangre
  de Cristo Mountains.

* WHERE...Sangre de Cristo Mountains, Glorieta Mesa Including
  Glorieta Pass, Upper Rio Grande Valley, Johnson and Bartlett Mesas
  Including Raton Pass, Far Northeast Highlands, and Northeast
  Highlands.

* WHEN...From noon Wednesday to 5 AM MST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Tire traction will be
  reduced. Extend the distance between your vehicle and the vehicle
  in front of you. This includes I-25 between Glorieta Pass and
  Raton Pass. The hazardous conditions will impact the Wednesday
  evening and Thursday morning commute.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow will begin to accumulate near the
  Colorado border Wednesday afternoon, but not until sunset
  Wednesday south of Highway 64.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. For the latest road
conditions, dial 511 or 1.800.432.4269, or visit http://nmroads.com.

&& $$ MA
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
955 AM MST Tue Dec 2 2025

NMZ223-030100-
/O.EXB.KABQ.WW.Y.0019.251204T0000Z-251204T1200Z/
Central Highlands-
955 AM MST Tue Dec 2 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM WEDNESDAY TO 5 AM MST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations up to two and half
  inches.

* WHERE...Central Highlands.

* WHEN...From 5 PM Wednesday to 5 AM MST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on snow packed or icy road conditions for the
  Thursday morning commute. This includes I-40 between Moriarty and
  Santa Rosa, including Clines Corners.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. For the latest road
conditions, dial 511 or 1.800.432.4269, or visit http://nmroads.com.

&& $$
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
955 AM MST Tue Dec 2 2025

NMZ210-030100-
/O.EXB.KABQ.WW.Y.0019.251203T1900Z-251204T1200Z/
Tusas Mountains Including Chama-
955 AM MST Tue Dec 2 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON WEDNESDAY TO 5 AM MST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 2 and 4
  inches, except between 4 and 8 inches above 7500 feet.

* WHERE...Tusas Mountains Including Chama.

* WHEN...From noon Wednesday to 5 AM MST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Tire traction will be
  reduced. Extend the distance between your vehicle and the vehicle
  in front of you.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. For the latest road
conditions, dial 511 or 1.800.432.4269, or visit http://nmroads.com.

&& $$

NWS Albuquerque Watches & Warnings.
(Click On The Link Above For The Latest Updates).





Surface Map Forecast.
(Valid From 5 AM MST This Morning Through 5 PM MST Friday, Dec 5, 2025).








6-10 Day & 8-14 Day Temp/Precip Outlooks. 



There Are None So Blind As Those Who "Will - Not" To See...107.

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My Precipitation Totals - 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad

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Artesia, NM Mothership Supercell Thunderstorm. 9-17-2016.

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Blog Updated 9-19-2016 @ 6:31 PM MDT. Diane & I Chase A Monster Of A Supercell!  Saturday, Sept 17, 2016.  Courtesy Of Diane J. Malone. My Wife (Diane) And I Took Old Yo Crossing Rd. South Out Of Roswell And Finally Got Out In Front Of This Monster Of A Supercell Thunderstorm On St. Hwy 13. She Took This Photo Near Mile Marker 11. Pretty Much Describes Rural Southeastern New Mexico. 3:09 PM MDT: This Beast Had Multiple Wall Clouds That At Times Showed Slow Rotation And At Other Times Was Spinning Like A Top. This Was A Ground Hugger At Times As Well. Initially When This Storm Developed South Of Picacho It Was Showing A Northeastward Movement On Radar. That Didn't Last Long As It Intensified And Started Heading East Then Made A Right Turn (Right Mover) And Took Off To The Southeast. At Times Moving Southeastward At 15-20 MPH Then It Would Accelerating To 40 MPH.  3:47 PM MDT: We Are About 1 Mile West Of Hope In Western Eddy County On ...
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Blog Updated At 9:57 PM MST. Courtesy Of Glen Brazell. Shared On Twitter By Kerry Jones. Nearly 30" The Ground In Ruidoso, NM. Downtown Ruidoso, New Mexico. Ruidoso Web Cam Snapshot At 1:54 PM MST This Afternoon. National Weather Service Watches & Warnings In Effect. As Of 5 AM MST Friday, December 28, 2018. Click On This Link To Open Up The Latest Updated Map. Then Once The Map Opens Up, Click Anywhere On The Map To Be Re-directed To Your Area Of Interest. The NWS Office That Has Forecast And Warning Responsibility For That Location Will Have The Latest Weather Information Posted On Their Web Page. US GFS 500 Millibar (18,000') Analysis. Valid At 11 PM MST Thursday Evening. As of midnight last night a slow moving and powerful closed upper level low was located over northern Arizona. US GFS 500 Millibar (18,000') Forecast. Valid At 5 PM MST Today.  This winter storm is forecast to continue sinking slowly ...
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25th Anniversary Of The Carlsbad, NM (May 31, 1991) Tornado Coming Up.

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Blog Updated @ 3:11 PM MDT. Click On The Photos & Newspaper Articles To Enlarge Them. On May 31, 1991 at 8:39 PM MDT a then rated (F-2 Tornado touched down 2.1 miles southeast of the Carlsbad Airport (as the crow flies) just southwest of the end of Wagonwheel Rd. A day and time that many local residents will never forget. Newspaper articles at the time reported conflicting reports (understandably so) concerning the damage, injuries, and the time of the tornado. To many residents this was a shock...not something that we are used to seeing or dealing with.  The tornado touched down right at dusk. Cass Hernandez who was the Carlsbad Airport Security Guard at the time observed the tornado 2 miles southeast of the Airport as power flashes occurred from the tornado destroying power lines and transformers. It was eerie looking contrasted with the darkness and power flashes but there was no mistaking what was happening. The Tornado's path is circled in red...
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Major Winter Storm May Paralyze/Bury Parts Of NM & Nearby Areas Tonight Into Wednesday!

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Winter Storm Watches & Warnings Are In Effect - Click On This Link For Additional Details. U.S. GFS Storm Total Snowfall Forecast. Valid At 6 PM MDT Wednesday. Today's (Sunday) noon mdt run of the GFS forecast model is just plain nuts. Its trend has been to produce heavier snowfall totals and aerial coverages with each new run over the past day. This has me worried. 19" for Roswell, 12" for Artesia, 15" for Clovis, 28" for the Fort Sumner area, and 17" for Corona! This would be wild in the dead of winter but is absolutely unheard of in the part of the world in October! The last time we saw something like this come to pass was the Blizzard of December 27, 28, 29th, 2015. Will history repeats itself? I hope not but I will admit that I am worried. My feeling is that we will see snowfall accumulations of around 6" to 12" in SE NM and 6" to 18" in the mountains.  GFS Freezing Rain Accumulation Forecast. Valid Tonight Through PM MDT Wednes...
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2011 Skywarn Spotter Training Classes & My Thoughts.

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Cloudcroft & Ruidoso, NM Seasonal Snowfall Totals.

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This blog and its contents are for informational purposes only! Always have multiple sources of information available to rely upon during severe weather. Do not rely solely on the Internet. Be weather-aware, plan ahead, have a backup plan, and be ready to act before severe weather strikes your location.