Continued Cool With Scattered Showers & T-Storms - Hot & Windy First Of Next Week.

May 5, 2025.
Lake Arthur T-Storm With Hail Shafts.

Cool With A Slight Chance Of T-Storms Into Thursday.

Wow, some of the storm total snowfall amounts coming in from northern New Mexico would be impressive even in the dead of winter, much less the first week of May! A report of 34" from a station 5 miles north of Chacon in Mora County tops the list so far.  

An upper-level low is forecast to drop into southern Arizona tonight, then quickly swing eastward into far West Texas tomorrow. Enough low-level Gulf of America will get imported back into the area, along with increasing instability to kick off a few scattered rain showers and thunderstorms. Some of these storms may be severe across parts of far West Texas and the Big Bend Country tomorrow. 

Scattered rain showers and T-Storms will favor the mountains of New Mexico into Saturday, then we dry out and warm up again. The 90's return to southeastern New Mexico by next Monday. 

A Flood Watch remains in effect for the southern and the east slopes of the Sangre de Cristo mountains of northern New Mexico through Thursday evening. 

Another strong spring storm (closed upper-level low) drops into the Great Basin next Monday and Tuesday. This means strong southwesterly winds will ramp up across the state with areas of blowing dust in southern New Mexico. 

The dryline may once again fire up across eastern New Mexico late next week. Looks like we are on track for an active severe weather season this year, which runs from April through June. 


Several feet of snow in the northern mountains will create rises on area creeks and streams over the next few days. Please use caution if near riverbanks! #NMwx


Valid Today Through Friday, May 16, 2025.


Thursday.


Friday.


Saturday.


Sunday.


Monday.


Tuesday.


National Blend Of Models (NBM) Rainfall Forecast.

Valid Wednesday Through Next Saturday, May 17, 2025.



New Mexico MesoWest Reported Low Temperatures This Morning.


038
NOUS45 KABQ 071655
PNSABQ
NMZ201>241-080455-

Public Information Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1055 AM MDT Wed May 7 2025

...SNOWFALL REPORTS...

Location                     Amount    Time/Date

...New Mexico...

...Colfax County...
5 S Cimarron Canyon State Pa 19.0 in   0942 AM 05/06
2 WNW Angel Fire             18.0 in   0800 AM 05/07
Eagle Nest                   12.0 in   0400 PM 05/06
2 SE Enchanted Forest XC Ski 11.0 in   0943 AM 05/06

...Los Alamos County...
1 NNE Pajarito Mountain Ski  7.0 in    0613 AM 05/06

...Mora County...
5 N Chacon                   34.0 in   0600 PM 05/06
Chacon 2.1 ENE               18.0 in   0700 AM 05/07
Chacon 2.1 ENE               3.0 in    0700 AM 05/07

...Rio Arriba County...
11 NNW Canon Plaza           12.0 in   0916 AM 05/06
7 E Canjilon                 11.0 in   0917 AM 05/06
8 SSW San Miguel             7.0 in    0915 AM 05/06
12 SSE Coyote                5.0 in    0928 AM 05/06
5 NW Chama                   4.0 in    0913 AM 05/06
9 E Cuba                     3.0 in    0920 AM 05/06
7 ESE Cuba                   2.0 in    0600 AM 05/06
11 NNW Canon Plaza           2.0 in    0600 PM 05/06

...San Miguel County...
8 SW Rociada                 13.0 in   0927 AM 05/06
1 WNW Sapello                6.0 in    1200 PM 05/06
Sapello 5.1 WNW              1.7 in    0900 AM 05/07

...Santa Fe County...
2 SSE Santa Fe Ski Area      14.0 in   0925 AM 05/06
3 SSE Hyde Memorial State Pa 6.0 in    0923 AM 05/06

...Taos County...
11 ENE Amalia                24.0 in   1045 AM 05/07
5 WNW Eagle Nest Lake State  22.0 in   0600 AM 05/06
1 SSW Taos Ski Valley        20.0 in   0600 AM 05/06
3 S Taos Ski Valley          20.0 in   0600 AM 05/06
4 NNW Tres Ritos             13.0 in   0938 AM 05/06
5 SSE Llano Largo            12.0 in   0935 AM 05/06
0 N Red River                9.0 in    0754 AM 05/05
9 NE Enchanted Forest XC Ski 9.0 in    0944 AM 05/06
Tres Ritos                   6.0 in    0600 AM 05/06
Taos 4.3 NNW                 3.3 in    1159 PM 05/06
Taos 19.1 W                  2.7 in    0900 AM 05/07
Arroyo Seco 2.3 SW           2.5 in    0700 AM 05/07
Taos                         2.0 in    0800 AM 05/06
Taos 1.6 SE                  2.0 in    0900 AM 05/07
Arroyo Hondo 4.8 WSW         1.7 in    0630 AM 05/07
San Cristobal 0.1 NE         1.0 in    0700 AM 05/07
&&

Area Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
143 PM CDT Wed May 7 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 131 PM CDT Wed May 7 2025

- Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will develop
  across areas especially along and south of Interstate 20
  Thursday. A few storms could become strong to severe and become
  capable of producing large hail, damaging winds, and locally
  heavy rainfall over southern portions of the area. Some showers
  may linger around into Friday afternoon.

- Heat returns next week with 90s/100s back in the forecast.

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1207 PM MDT Wed May 7 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1148 AM MDT Wed May 7 2025

- Expect rises in rivers, creeks and arroyos, as well as water
  over low water crossings and especially along the east slopes of
  the Sangre De Cristo Mountains due to recent rain and snow along
  with rapid snow melt.

- Daily rounds of afternoon showers and thunderstorms will persist
  through Saturday favoring the high terrain. Temperatures slowly
  climb back to average come late week.

- Above normal temperatures return early next week with dry
  conditions and increasing westerly winds.

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
Issued by National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1127 AM MDT Wed May 7 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
 - Showers and thunderstorms are possible each afternoon through
   Saturday, focused over mountain areas.

 - Near to below normal temperatures through Sunday, then warming
   up above normal early next week.

 - Strong westerly winds return Monday and Tuesday. Areas of
   blowing dust may restrict visibility.

&&

There Are None So Blind As Those Who "Will - Not" To See...107.

Comments

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