Chance For Rain Showers & Isolated T-Storms - High Mtn Snow Showers Mon-Tue.
Old Y O Crossing Rd.
2 Miles South Of The Roswell Industrial Air Center Airport.
Altocumulus Standing Lenticular Clouds (ACSL) & Tumbleweeds.
Not all springs in New Mexico come roaring like a lion at the start of March. So far this year, our meteorological spring has sprung more like a lamb. In fact, boring weather comes to mind more often than not of late, which isn't a bad thing given this is our driest and windiest time of the year. We've had a break so far this winter and an early start to our spring compared to the last several years. Our annual windbags and duststorms haven't been that bad and have been few and far between each event. Let's hope it stays that way.
A weak Pacific cold front will slide across the state Monday night into Tuesday morning. Basically, very little cooling with this front other than knocking our daytime highs back down closer to norms for this time of the year.
A cut-off upper-level low centered northwest of the Baja Spur at sunrise this morning will wobble northeastward and cross southern New Mexico on Tuesday while opening up and weakening.
Enough lift, instability, and moisture will be over the region ahead of the approaching Pacific front and upper-level low Monday into Tuesday to produce widely scattered light rain showers along with a few isolated thunderstorms over southern New Mexico. Storm total rainfall amounts from Monday through Tuesday are forecast to be light. Generally ranging from a few one-hundredths of an inch up to three tenths of an inch. As always, an isolated thunderstorm or two could drop a little more than this in a few spots.
Scattered light snow showers are forecast above 8,500' Monday night through Tuesday night in the Sacramento Mountains. The Sunspot, Cloudcroft, Silver Lake, and Ski Apache areas will likely see a mix of rain and snow before changing over to all snow on Tuesday. Storm total snowfall amounts are currently forecast to range from a trace to perhaps an inch or so.
A warming trend begins by the end of the week, going into next weekend as southwest and westerly winds kick up once again. By next Friday and Saturday, the southeastern plains once again will be flirting with daytime highs near 90.
As has been the overall trend since last fall, our long-range outlooks over the next two weeks call for above-normal temperatures and below-normal chances for precipitation. See the list in my blog post below for the daily record high temps that have been tied or broken in New Mexico so far this month.
La Niña continues to wane as we move into a neutral phase. There are indications that El Niño may start returning by the summer, but more so by the fall. Current forecasts call for a weak to moderate El Niño this coming fall and winter.
West Texas has already had a couple of early severe weather events. With a neutral phase La Niña coming to life, we may have more of an active severe weather season (April - June) this year across the eastern half of New Mexico east into Texas.
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 1213 PM CDT Sun Mar 8 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1207 PM CDT Sun Mar 8 2026 - Cool and mainly dry weather today, then warmer Monday and Tuesday. - Low to medium (20-50%) rain/storm chances return Monday afternoon through Tuesday evening. Rainfall amounts and coverage remain uncertain at this time. - Cooler temperatures and gusty winds expected mid-week. - Warm and dry weather returns by late next week into next weekend. &&
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 1130 AM MDT Sun Mar 8 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1116 AM MDT Sun Mar 8 2026 - Breezy to windy conditions, very low humidities, and dry vegetation will increase the risk of rapid fire spread east of the central mountain chain today and Monday then again Thursday through Saturday. - A warm storm system will spread rain showers, isolated thunderstorms, and very high terrain snow mainly along and south of I-40 Monday night through Tuesday evening resulting in little to no rainfall with a few cloud-to-ground lightning strikes. - Breezy to locally windy conditions with well above average temperatures will return Thursday through Saturday. &&
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM 1129 AM MDT Sun Mar 8 2026 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1108 AM MDT Sun Mar 8 2026 - Upper level system will bring scattered rain showers to the region Monday night through Tuesday. Breezy conditions expected late Tuesday. - A brief warming trend will be interrupted by this system on Tuesday, but the warming will return later in the week. &&
Today.
Monday.
Tuesday.
Wednesday.
Thursday.
Friday.
Saturday.
(Sunday - Wednesday).
NWS Forecast Storm Total Snowfall Amounts.
(Sunday - Wednesday).
There Are None So Blind As Those Who "Will - Not" To See...107.
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