Round Two - Repeat Of Yesterday?
Looking Northeast.
Carlsbad, New Mexico.
Scattered Severe T-Storms & Hot!
Wash, rinse, repeat...today's weather will be a whole lot like yesterday's. Another round of severe thunderstorms is forecast across the eastern half of the state this afternoon and evening. Clusters of thunderstorms may form along or near the NM/TX state line this evening as they move eastward into West Texas.
Again, the Storm Prediction Center is targeting the area from Tatum north to Clovis and east of Lubbock for the greatest risk of tornadoes...Enhanced Risk Area (Orange shade).
A Slight Risk Area (Yellow shade) covers all of northeastern, eastern, and southeastern New < Mexico.
Supercell thunderstorms will rule the afternoon and early evening. Tonight, several clusters of multicelluar thunderstorms will be possible.
Once again, all severe weather hazards will be in play in these areas, including: A few tornadoes, some maybe strong, large to very large hail, damaging thunderstorm wind gusts in excess of 60 mph, frequent cloud-to-ground lightning, locally heavy rainfall, and localized flash flooding.
Our high temps across southeastern New Mexico will be near 100 today, and the low to mid 100's Saturday and Sunday.
SPC AC 061628 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1128 AM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Valid 061630Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF THE MID MS AND TN VALLEYS AND OVER SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected across portions of the central and southern High Plains. Very large hail, damaging winds, and a tornado threat is anticipated. Scattered severe thunderstorms and possibly a couple of tornadoes are also possible across parts of the mid Mississippi Valley and into the Tennessee/Ohio Valleys. ...Mid MS and TN Valleys... Late morning radar mosaic shows a decaying MCS over southern MO and AR. An MCV will move eastward this afternoon and diurnal destabilization of a very moist airmass near the MS/OH River confluence and Mid South will promote scattered storm development by early to mid afternoon. Enlarged hodographs imply a supercell tornado risk may develop from southeast MO eastward into KY/TN this afternoon and early evening. Farther south, widely scattered to scattered thunderstorms are forecast as convective inhibition erodes by early to mid afternoon to the east of the residual gust front. Forecast soundings show PW near 2 inches and 2000-3000 J/kg MLCAPE from AR into the northern half of MS/AL/GA. The southern fringe of stronger westerlies will promote multicell organization with the stronger storms and a hail/wind risk with some of these storms through the early evening. ...High Plains... Little change was made to the prior forecast. Two primary corridors for severe activity are apparent in model guidance---1) CO I-25 corridor and areas southeastward into portions of southwest KS/OK Panhandle and eventually the OK vicinity late tonight, and 2) in the vicinity of trailing outflow that will modify over portions of northwest/west TX and eastern NM. In eastern CO, moist upslope flow will contribute to upper 40s to lower 50s dewpoints near the foothills beneath a belt of strong westerly mid to high-level flow. Steep lapse rates and elongated hodographs will favor supercells with a risk for a couple of tornadoes, large to very large hail, and eventually a transition to a cluster becoming predominately a wind threat late. Farther south, intense supercells are expected to form in vicinity of this boundary during the late afternoon, posing another risk of very large hail and a few tornadoes. Some signal in model guidance shows a cluster of storms persisting into the late evening as storms move east of the Caprock and into northwest TX before gradually diminishing late.
Landspout Tornado.
East of Carlsbad, NM.
Courtesy of Lucy Weston.
804 NWUS54 KMAF 052246 LSRMAF Preliminary Local Storm Report National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 546 PM CDT Thu Jun 5 2025 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0445 PM Landspout 13 ENE Loving 32.36N 103.90W 06/05/2025 Eddy NM Public Landspout reported by public via social media at the intersection of Wipp Rd and NM 128. Location of landspout is based on radar and size is approximately 25 yards lasting less than a minute. && $$ KML
476
NWUS54 KMAF 052318
LSRMAF
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
618 PM CDT Thu Jun 5 2025
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0612 PM Hail 9 NW Monument 32.69N 103.39W
06/05/2025 M1.75 Inch Lea NM Trained Spotter
Golf ball size hail reported by a trained
spotter near the junction of NM 529 and US
62.
&&
$$
KML093
NWUS54 KMAF 052338
LSRMAF
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
638 PM CDT Thu Jun 5 2025
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0630 PM Tstm Wnd Gst 2 WSW Tatum 33.24N 103.35W
06/05/2025 M66 MPH Lea NM Mesonet
Mesonet station 51 2SW Tatum NM.
&&
$$
KML370 NWUS54 KMAF 060013 LSRMAF Preliminary Local Storm Report National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 713 PM CDT Thu Jun 5 2025 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0632 PM Hail 2 ESE Tatum 33.24N 103.28W 06/05/2025 E3.00 Inch Lea NM Public Corrects previous hail report from 2 ESE Tatum. Hail measured up to 3.5 inches in diameter. && $$ KML
529 NOUS45 KABQ 061534 PNSABQ NMZ201>241-070334- Public Information Statement National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 934 AM MDT Fri Jun 6 2025 ...PRECIPITATION REPORTS FOR THE LAST 24 HOURS... Location Amount Time/Date ...New Mexico... ...Bernalillo County... Albuquerque 8.1 ESE 0.01 in 0700 AM 06/06 Albuquerque 3.4 SE 0.01 in 0800 AM 06/06 Albuquerque 3 NW 0.01 in 0929 AM 06/06 Rio Grande Nature Center 0.01 in 0930 AM 06/06 Albuquerque 6.5 ESE T in 0700 AM 06/06 ...Chaves County... Mesa 4 SW T in 0800 AM 06/06 ...Colfax County... Springer 0.06 in 0930 AM 06/06 Ute Park 3 N (Cimarron) 0.02 in 0909 AM 06/06 ...Curry County... Clovis Muni Airport 2.37 in 0922 AM 06/06 Clovis 3.3 E 2.33 in 0700 AM 06/06 Clovis 3 WSW 2.12 in 0925 AM 06/06 Clovis 3.3 SW 1.77 in 0700 AM 06/06 Clovis 1.7 NE 1.64 in 0700 AM 06/06 Clovis 2.3 NNE 1.35 in 0429 AM 06/06 Clovis 1.2 NW 1.07 in 0633 AM 06/06 Clovis 1.00 in 0923 AM 06/06 Clovis 0.50 in 0925 AM 06/06 Texico 13.6 N 0.46 in 0700 AM 06/06 Cannon Air Force Base 0.04 in 0910 AM 06/06 ...De Baca County... Fort Sumner 0.5 SSW 0.13 in 0545 AM 06/06 Fort Sumner 0.13 in 0930 AM 06/06 ...Los Alamos County... Los Alamos 2.5 WSW T in 0800 AM 06/06 ...Quay County... Logan 1.5 W 0.24 in 0700 AM 06/06 House 0.1 S 0.04 in 0700 AM 06/06 McAlister 3.7 WNW 0.01 in 0700 AM 06/06 ...Rio Arriba County... Espanola 4 NW (Black Mesa) 0.06 in 0834 AM 06/06 Espanola 5.4 WNW 0.05 in 0700 AM 06/06 Alcalde 5.9 NE 0.04 in 0700 AM 06/06 Gallina 2.0 W 0.03 in 0700 AM 06/06 Chama 1.0 N T in 0700 AM 06/06 ...Roosevelt County... Portales 2.9 ESE 0.61 in 0700 AM 06/06 Portales 1 SW 0.37 in 0930 AM 06/06 Portales 2.0 N 0.19 in 0806 AM 06/06 Tolar 13 SE (Melrose Range) 0.14 in 0914 AM 06/06 Elida 9.1 S 0.06 in 0700 AM 06/06 Tolar 12 SE T in 0900 AM 06/06 ...San Juan County... Navajo Dam 12 N (Albino Cany 0.20 in 0826 AM 06/06 Narbona Pass 0.09 in 0841 AM 06/06 Farmington 1.3 WNW 0.02 in 0700 AM 06/06 Aztec 1.0 ESE 0.01 in 0600 AM 06/06 Aztec 9.1 NE 0.01 in 0700 AM 06/06 Navajo Dam 0.01 in 0700 AM 06/06 Farmington 1 NE 0.01 in 0930 AM 06/06 Aztec 0.01 in 0930 AM 06/06 Farmington Airport T in 0853 AM 06/06 ...San Miguel County... Bell Ranch 11 ENE 0.01 in 0920 AM 06/06 ...Sandoval County... Jemez Pueblo 5.7 NNW T in 0630 AM 06/06 Cuba 2.1 NNW T in 0700 AM 06/06 ...Santa Fe County... Santa Fe 0.03 in 0930 AM 06/06 Santa Fe 3 ENE 0.01 in 0926 AM 06/06 ...Taos County... Ranchos De Taos 2.4 W 0.10 in 0700 AM 06/06 Los Cordovas 2 S 0.08 in 0925 AM 06/06 Taos 1.6 SE 0.06 in 0900 AM 06/06 Midnight 0.01 in 0837 AM 06/06 Taos Pueblo Raws 0.01 in 0913 AM 06/06 Tres Piedras Ranger Station 0.01 in 0915 AM 06/06 Taos 4.3 NNW T in 1159 PM 06/05 ...Torrance County... Estancia 2.4 WSW 0.01 in 0700 AM 06/06 ...Union County... Amistad 7.7 SW 0.11 in 0700 AM 06/06 Amistad 8.5 WSW 0.10 in 0700 AM 06/06 Clayton 1.1 W T in 0900 AM 06/06 ...HAIL REPORTS... Location Size Time/Date ...New Mexico... ...Curry County... Cannon Air Force Base 0.75 in 0455 PM 06/05 1 E Clovis 0.70 in 0510 PM 06/05 4 ESE Clovis 0.25 in 0520 PM 06/05 ...Roosevelt County... Causey 2.00 in 0335 PM 06/05 2 S Causey 1.75 in 0338 PM 06/05 8 S Portales 1.50 in 0319 PM 06/05 &&
There Are None So Blind As Those Who "Will - Not" To See...107.
Comments
Post a Comment
Your comments, questions, and feedback on this post/web page are welcome.