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Current Conditions 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad, NM

2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad 14-Day Temperature Graph

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Thursday, January 19, 2012

Record High Temps Possible Today - Breezy.

March Temperatures In January.

A mid-level disturbance moving eastward across northern New Mexico early this morning, was responsible for kicking up our winds here locally overnight. Westerly winds have generally been gusting up into the 30-40 mph range. These gusty westerly winds have also kept our temperatures up. Readings at 6 AM ranged from 45 at the Artesia Airport, 52 at the Roswell Airport, 58 at the Carlsbad Airport, 59 at the Bat Draw Raws located at the Carlsbad Caverns Visitor Center, to 59 in Pine Springs.

Near record, to record high temperatures are still forecast across the local area this afternoon and again Friday afternoon. Forecast high temperatures range from the upper 70's to near 80. Friday's highs will be very close to today's readings, perhaps a couple of degrees warmer.

Gusty southwesterly-westerly downslopping winds will kick up Friday across the area. A High Wind Watch has been issued for the Guadalupe Mountains, which will be in effect from late tonight into Friday evening. Westerly winds are forecast to increase to sustained speeds of 35-45 mph with gusts near 65 mph.

A Fire Weather Watch is also in effect for all of southeastern New Mexico and West Texas for Friday. Critically Dangerous Fire Weather Conditions are forecast, so please refrain from any type of outdoor activity that involves the use of sparks or flame.

Record High Temperatures-
(Thursday Jan 19th)

Roswell ThreadEX 80 in 2000
Artesia Climate 78 in 2000
Carlsbad Climate 79 in 2000
Carlsbad Airport 86 in 2000
Hobbs Climate 74 in 1986
Tatum Climate 74 in 2000

Record High Temperatures-
(Friday Jan 20th)

Roswell ThreadEX 80 in 1911
Artesia Climate 81 in 2000
Carlsbad Climate 83 in 2000
Carlsbad Airport 80 in 1986
Hobbs Climate 78 in 1986
Tatum Climate 77 in 2000

Temperature Data Is Courtesy Of-

Will Winter Return Next Week?

Valid At 5 PM MST Tue Jan 24, 2012.

Valid At 5 PM MST Tue Jan 24, 2012.

Last nights model runs were doing a little better as far as agreeing on next weeks storm. Both the GFS and European (ECMWF) models drop a disturbance southward out of the Pacific Northwest and into the Great Basin this weekend.

They then close this system off over southwestern New Mexico by around next Tuesday. This pattern favors a better chance of us seeing precipitation across the area, Just how much moisture the storm has to work with, and how much cold air will be ingested into it, will determine who gets rain and snow and how much.

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