Beautiful Weekend - Windy Monday.

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Beautiful Weekend - Mild.

A beautiful mid-January weekend is on tap for southeast New Mexico today and tomorrow. Sunny skies and light winds will dominate our weather today with afternoon highs ranging from near 60 in the Roswell and Artesia areas, to the low-mid 60's elsewhere.

Mid and high level clouds will increase tomorrow as a fast moving upper-level disturbance approaches the area to our northwest. High temperatures are forecast to range from the mid 60's to near 70. A few of the normally warmer spots will likely get up into the low 70's.

Valid 5 PM MST Mon Jan 16, 2012.

High Wind Watch!
Late Sunday Night - Monday Afternoon.
Guadalupe Mtn's SE NM & W TX.
SW Winds Increasing To 35-50G65 MPH.

Special Weather Statement From NWS Albuquerque.
Higher Mountain Snows Western & Northern NM.
Windy Eastern Plains Monday.

Our first high wind event of 2012 looks like it will unfold Monday afternoon across southeastern New Mexico and parts of nearby West Texas. A fast moving short wave trough of low pressure (depicted on the map above), will zip by to our north across Colorado on Monday. This will increase the mid-upper level winds across the area.

Cold Front Arrives Monday Night.

A surface low pressure will deepen over southeastern Colorado, and the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles on Monday. A lee trough of low pressure will stretch southward out of this low and into southeastern New Mexico. The surface pressure gradient will tighten up during the day, as stronger mid and upper winds aloft move into the area.

This will make for a windy day with southwesterly winds at around 20 - 30 mph with gusts likely in the 40 mph range. A few spots may see higher gusts, especially over and near the foothills and mountains. A High Wind event is anticipated for the Guadalupe Mountains with southwesterly winds gusts of around 60 mph.

Cooler weather will overspread the area Tuesday with daytime highs mostly in the 50's. This won't last as we are forecast to warm back up into the mid-upper 60's by Thursday, and the mid-upper 70's by next Friday. A wouldn't be surprised to see some of us reach the 80-degree mark.

Brutal - Possibly Historic Cold NW Canada.

Valid 11 PM MST Tue Jan 17, 2012.

Brutal, possibly historic cold (see Dr. Ryan Maue's twitter comments) will grip northwestern Canada this week. Temperature anomalies across this area (see the map above) are forecast to be some 70-degrees below normal. That's just incredible! Actual temperatures are forecast to dive as low as -60F. It will be interesting to see just how low some of these temperatures go.

Once again as long as the jet stream does not buckle, and send a trough of low pressure south into the Great Basin or Desert Southwest, we will not see these brutally cold airmasses come south into our area. We have undergone a jet stream pattern change..gone at least for now, are the southward dips of the jet stream into the Desert Southwest. Long-range models continue to basically hold a zonal flow aloft pattern (the jet stream moving more or less west to east across the country) throughout the next week or so.

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