Current Conditions 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad, NM

Watching A Storm Early Next Week.

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Since Christmas our weather has been quiet. It will stay this way into the upcoming weekend. Sunny skies will prevail across the area. Slightly cooler air will filter southward through the local area today behind a weak cold front. Our afternoon high temps for the most part will be in the upper 50's today. Tomorrow's highs should range from the upper 50's to the low-mid 60's across southeastern New Mexico. Friday will be a little warmer with highs in the mid 60's to near 70. Another shot of cooler air will arrive by Saturday which will knock out daytime highs back down into the 50's for the weekend.

Next Weeks Headache.

Valid At 5 PM MST Sun Jan 8, 2012.

Valid At 5 PM MST Sun Jan 8, 2012.

Nearly a week ago the European model (ECMWF) was forecasting a strong closed low to drop southward to the southwestern corner of New Mexico by the first of next week. At the time it was looking like another significant winter storm for the state...much like our Christmas storm. 

Since then it has wobbled all over the place with this storm in its forecasts. The US GFS model has been just as bad, back and forth with the placement of this next potential winter storm. The storm track has varied anywhere from southern Arizona to West Texas.

  Last nights forecasts are now trying to push the storm back to the west and impact our weather around the Monday into Tuesday time frame. Nothing is certain at this time concerning the track and strength of this next storm...so we will have to wait a couple more days for the models to settle down, before we have a clearer picture of what this next storm will or will not do. For now it appears that a much weaker and warmer storm will affect the area.

The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!

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