My Photo Slide Show

His Interview On The Worlld-Wide COVID-19 Failures & Vaccines

Massive Confusion In The Computer Model Forecasts.



 A piece of the elongated upper-level trough of low pressure which is centered near the tip of the Aleutian Islands of Alaska, will break off a (in the form of a short wave trough of low pressure) and dive southeastward towards the southern California and Baja, Mexico region by late this weekend. Where it goes and what it does from there is highly speculative at this point.

There is trouble in the computer model forecast world. Massive confusion has taken over, and at best the models are a tangled mess. To say its bad would be an understatement. There is no run to run agreement with each of the models (GFS, CMC, NAM, ECMWF), or with each other concerning the future track and strength of this storm. Simply put they offer widely different and varied forecast solutions with each new run (every six hours) concerning our pending potential New Years week winter storm. I thought the models were a mess with the Christmas storm, this is ridiculous! 

So its time to punt, time to back off and wait, because it makes no sense whatsoever to try and pick any one model, or model run, to use as a guide as to what this next storm is going to do. We are going to have another winter storm affect the area beginning around New Years Eve, but what those exact affects are going to be is anybody's guess at this point. I'm hoping they settle down by the weekend.

The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!

 My Web Page Is Best Viewed With Google Chrome.

Comments

2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad, NM 24-Hour Temp Graph

2.1 Downtown Carlsbad, NM 30-Day Temps

My Current Davis Vantage Pro Plus Weather

Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussions

NWS Storm Prediction Center (SPC)

NWS Storm Prediction Center (SPC)
Current Watches In Effect

Storm Prediction Center

Storm Prediction Center
Severe Weather Outlooks/Watches - Click On The Map To Open It.

NWS Watch/Warning/Hazards Map

NWS Watch/Warning/Hazards Map
Click On The Map To Go To The Live Link.

NWS 12-Hour Surface Map Forecast

NWS 12-Hour Surface Map Forecast
Click On The Map To Open It Up.

Eddy County Watches & Warnings

Lea County Watches & Warnings

Culberson County - Guadalupe Mtn's Watches & Warnings

NWS Midland Web Page

NWS Midland Web Page
Click On The Map To Open It Up

NWS Midland Regional Forecast

Chaves County Watches & Warnings

Lincoln County Watches & Warnings

NWS Albuquerque Web Page

NWS Albuquerque Web Page
Click On The Map To Open It Up

NWS Albuquerque Regional Forecasts.

Otero County Watches & Warnings

NWS El Paso Web Page

NWS El Paso Web Page
Click On The Map To Open It Up

NWS El Paso/Santa Teresa Regional Forecasts.

NWS Lubbock Web Page

NWS Lubbock Web Page
Click On The Map To Open It Up

NWS Lubbock Regional Forecasts.

Cloudcroft Live Webcam