Cloudcroft Web Cam

Current NWS Watches/Warnings/Hazards - Click On The Map For Your Area Of Interest.

Current NWS Watches/Warnings/Hazards - Click On The Map For Your Area Of Interest.
Click On The Map To Go To The Live Link.

New Mexico

Eddy County Plains & Guadalupe Mtn's

Guadalupe Mtn's In Culberson County

Chaves County Plains & Mtn's

Lea County

Lincoln County

Otero County

Massive Confusion In The Computer Model Forecasts.



 A piece of the elongated upper-level trough of low pressure which is centered near the tip of the Aleutian Islands of Alaska, will break off a (in the form of a short wave trough of low pressure) and dive southeastward towards the southern California and Baja, Mexico region by late this weekend. Where it goes and what it does from there is highly speculative at this point.

There is trouble in the computer model forecast world. Massive confusion has taken over, and at best the models are a tangled mess. To say its bad would be an understatement. There is no run to run agreement with each of the models (GFS, CMC, NAM, ECMWF), or with each other concerning the future track and strength of this storm. Simply put they offer widely different and varied forecast solutions with each new run (every six hours) concerning our pending potential New Years week winter storm. I thought the models were a mess with the Christmas storm, this is ridiculous! 

So its time to punt, time to back off and wait, because it makes no sense whatsoever to try and pick any one model, or model run, to use as a guide as to what this next storm is going to do. We are going to have another winter storm affect the area beginning around New Years Eve, but what those exact affects are going to be is anybody's guess at this point. I'm hoping they settle down by the weekend.

The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!

 My Web Page Is Best Viewed With Google Chrome.

No comments:

Post a Comment

Your comments, questions, and feedback on this post/web page are welcome.

Regional Radar

Current Temperatures

Current Wind Chill Temps

NWS Forecast High Temps Today

NWS Forecast Low Temps Tonight

NWS Storm Total Precipitation Forecast

NWS Albuquerque Storm Total Snowfall Forecast

NWS Midland Storm Total Snowfall Forecast

NWS El Paso Storm Total Snowfall Forecast

Average Daily High/Low Temperatures

Average Daily High/Low Temperatures