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A Mix Of Rain, Freezing Rain, Sleet, Snow Tonight Into New Years Eve Day.




Today's 12Z/5 AM MST ECMWF 500 MB Forecast.
Valid At 5 AM MST New Years Eve Morning.

NAM Temperature Forecast.
Valid At 6 AM MST New Years Eve Morning.

NAM Max Snow Depth Forecast.
Valid At 7 AM MST New Years Eve Morning.

NAM Max Snow Depth Forecast.
Valid At 9 AM MST New Years Eve Morning.

NAM Simulated Radar Valid At 5 PM MST Today.

NAM Simulated Radar Valid At 11 PM MST Tonight.

NAM Simulated Radar Valid At 6 AM MST New Years Eve Morning.



A strong winter storm will be moving into northern Arizona by sunset tonight. This winter storm will move across New Mexico tomorrow. There are still some questions as to just how far south this storm will track...so its possible to still see some additional adjustments to our local forecasts tonight into tomorrow.

Remember that these are a computer model forecast, these snowfall amounts may be higher in some areas, and lower in others than what this model is forecasting. Some areas of southeastern New Mexico may get some snow cover on the ground that are not currently shown to do so, if temperatures can fall to freezing or below. Use these maps as general guides only.

A wintry mix of light rain , sleet, light freezing rain, and snow is forecast to break out across the southeastern plains of New Mexico later tonight. At this time only light accumulations are forecast. Maybe an inch or so in the Guadalupe mountains, and a 1/2" on the grassy areas of Eddy, Lea, Chaves Counties. 

A Winter Weather Advisory has been issued for the Mountain Park, Cloudcroft, Meslcalero, Sunspot, Timberon, and Mayhill areas of the Sacramento mountains. 3"- 6" of snow is forecast to fall tonight into tomorrow above 5,500'. 1"- 3" is forecast to fall below 5,500'. 

A Winter Weather Advisory has been issued for the Ruidoso and nearby areas of the northern Sacramento mountains. 4" -  8" of snow are forecast above 8,000', and 2" - 6" expected below 8,000'. Areas of blowing snow are also forecast across the Sacramento mountains tonight into New Years evening. Roadways will become slick and hazardous. 

Should the winter storm that is approaching from northern Arizona move further south than what current model forecasts are indicating, then we may see more widespread and heavier snowfall totals across the local area than current forecasts indicate. 

Some of our local roadways are going to become very slick and icy later tonight into tomorrow. This will be especially over and near the mountains and northern locations. Please be careful out there!

The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!

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Current US Hazardous Weather Watch/Warning Map

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My Precipitation Totals - 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad

My Precipitation Totals - 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad

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Disclaimer

This blog and its contents are for informational purposes only! Always have multiple sources of information available to rely upon during severe weather. Do not rely solely on the Internet. Be weather-aware, plan ahead, have a backup plan, and be ready to act before severe weather strikes your location.