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Tropical Storm Erika.

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IR Satellite Of Tropical Storm Erika @ 7:45 AM MDT.

Water Vapor Satellite Image Of Tropical Storm Erika @ 6:45 AM MDT.

All eyes are on  poorly organized Tropical Storm Erika this morning as she continues moving to the west at 16 mph. As of 9 AM MDT she was located about 125 miles west of Guadeloupe with sustained winds of near 50 mph. Her central pressure was 1006 MB or 29.71". So where is she headed and how strong will she become?

NHC 5-Day Forecast Track Of Erika.

Computer Model Forecast Tracks Of Erika. 
As Of 12Z/6 AM MDT This Morning.

06Z/Midnight MDT GFDL Max Wind Speed Forecast (Knots).

06Z/Midnight MDT GFDL 900 MB & Max Wind Speed Forecast.
Valid @ 12Z/6 AM MDT Monday August 31. 2015. 

Its unknown at this time if the GFDL model forecast above is going to be correct with its forecast above. But note that at 12Z/6 AM MDT Monday morning it is forecasting the Hurricane to be east of Florida with sustained winds of 168 knots/193 mph and a central pressure of  928 MB's or 27.40".

06Z/Midnight MDT HWRF Max Wind Speed Forecast (Knots). 


Sea Surface Temperatures.
 @ 6 PM MDT Wednesday, August 26, 2015.

Lots of talk and discussion ongoing concerning the future track and strength of Tropical Storm Erika. And rightfully so. Its been awhile since the eastern seaboard from Florida northward has been under the gun as far as land falling Hurricanes go. There remains a lot of uncertainty this morning concerning Erika;'s future impacts upon the U.S. if any. For us weather nerds it will be an interesting weekend for sure as we watch and wait on Erika.

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Meteorologist Joe Bastardi On Twitter.

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This blog and its contents are for informational purposes only! Always have multiple sources of information available to rely upon during severe weather. Do not rely solely on the Internet. Be weather-aware, plan ahead, have a backup plan, and be ready to act before severe weather strikes your location.