March 2025 Starts Off Roaring Like A Lion!
Rio Felix Low Water Crossing.
Old Y O Crossing Rd - 18 Miles SSW Of Roswell, NM.
Note the debris field (brush piles) from the historic flash flooding on Sat, October 19, 2024.
I never in my lifetime (66 years) have seen flood waters this high here before.
Mrach 2025 Starts Off Roaring Like A Lion!
Saturday, March 1, 2025.
Several Days Of High Winds & Blowing Dust.
I took my photo on November 18, 2024, at the Rio Felix Low Water Crossing on Old Y O Crossing Rd - 18 Miles SSW Of Roswell, NM. Note the debris field (brush piles) from the historic flash flooding on Sat, October 19, 2024. I never in my lifetime (66 years) have seen flood waters this high here before.
March will start off like a roaring lion, commencing Sunday and continuing into Wednesday morning. We have two mid-upper level storms that will sweep across the state Sunday into Tuesday.
Both of them will be windbags more than anything. High Wind Warnings. Watches and Advisories are already in effect for much of the state, including our local area.
West winds are forecast to gust up to around 50-65 mph across the southern deserts, south-central mountains, southeastern plains, eastern and northeastern plains, as well as across the central mountains Sunday into Tuesday. The Guadalupe's will see gusts on Sunday in the 75 mph neighborhood and even strong winds Monday and Tuesday.
Blowing dust will be a problem across some areas of southern, south-central, southeastern, and eastern New Mexico on Sunday, Monday, and Tuesday. Travel may become extremely dangerous in our more dust-prone locations in the sudden drops in the visibility from dust storms with little to no advanced warning.
Critically dangerous to extremely critically dangerous fire weather conditions will also affect of the state from today into Tuesday. The fire danger will only get worse with time, so please refrain from any type of outdoor activities that involve the use of flame during Red Flag Warning days.
A few light snow showers and lowland rain showers will dot the landscape of far western, northwestern, northern, and northeastern New Mexico from these two approaching storms. A couple of inches of snow is possible across the higher mountains of northern New Mexico. Overall, nothing to write home about.
Additional watches, warnings, and advisories may be needed on Sunday, so stay alert and up to date in your areas of concern. Check for updates often.
Get ready for a dry, windy spring with a very high fire danger. Now is the time to get as prepared as possible.
High Wind Warning
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 1123 AM MST Sat Mar 1 2025 NMZ027-TXZ270-271-030300- /O.UPG.KMAF.HW.A.0009.250302T1200Z-250303T0200Z/ /O.NEW.KMAF.HW.W.0011.250302T1000Z-250303T0300Z/ Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains- Including the cities of Queen, Pine Springs, and Guadalupe Mountains National Park 1123 AM MST Sat Mar 1 2025 /1223 PM CST Sat Mar 1 2025/ ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM MST /4 AM CST/ TO 8 PM MST /9 PM CST/ SUNDAY... * WHAT...West winds 35 to 55 mph with gusts up to 75 mph expected. * WHERE...Guadalupe Mountains of west Texas and Southeast New Mexico. * WHEN...From 3 AM MST /4 AM CST/ to 8 PM MST /9 PM CST/ Sunday. * IMPACTS...Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles like campers, vans, and tractor trailers. Severe turbulence near the mountains will be hazardous for low flying light aircraft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Winds will be particularly hazardous at higher elevations where the strongest winds are likely to occur. Be especially careful driving in these mountainous areas. People driving high-profile vehicles should strongly consider postponing travel in these areas until the winds subside. Use caution if flying low near the mountains as severe turbulence is possible. Use caution when driving as blowing dust may reduce visibility. && $$URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 1123 AM MST Sat Mar 1 2025 NMZ028-TXZ273-277-030300- /O.NEW.KMAF.HW.W.0011.250302T1000Z-250303T0300Z/ Eddy County Plains-Eastern Culberson-Davis Mountains- Including the cities of Artesia, Fort Davis, Carlsbad, and Carlsbad Caverns NP 1123 AM MST Sat Mar 1 2025 /1223 PM CST Sat Mar 1 2025/ ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM MST /4 AM CST/ TO 8 PM MST /9 PM CST/ SUNDAY... * WHAT...West winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 65 mph expected. * WHERE...In New Mexico, Eddy County Plains. In Texas, Davis Mountains, and Eastern Culberson County. * WHEN...From 3 AM MST /4 AM CST/ to 8 PM MST /9 PM CST/ Sunday. * IMPACTS...Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles like campers, vans, and tractor trailers. Severe turbulence near the mountains will be hazardous for low flying light aircraft. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Winds will be particularly hazardous at higher elevations where the strongest winds are likely to occur. Be especially careful driving in these mountainous areas. People driving high-profile vehicles should strongly consider postponing travel in these areas until the winds subside. Use caution if flying low near the mountains as severe turbulence is possible. Use caution when driving as blowing dust may reduce visibility. && $$RGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 1123 AM MST Sat Mar 1 2025 TXZ272-278-030300- /O.NEW.KMAF.WI.Y.0006.250302T1000Z-250303T0300Z/ Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Davis Mountains Foothills- Including the cities of Van Horn and Alpine 1223 PM CST Sat Mar 1 2025 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 9 PM CST SUNDAY... * WHAT...West winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 55 mph expected. * WHERE...Davis Mountains Foothills and Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor. * WHEN...From 4 AM to 9 PM CST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds may blow around unsecured objects. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Winds will be particularly hazardous at higher elevations where the strongest winds are likely to occur. Be especially careful driving in these mountainous areas. People driving high-profile vehicles should strongly consider postponing travel in these areas until the winds subside. Use caution when driving as blowing dust may reduce visibility. && $$ DeBerry
High Wind Watch
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 233 PM MST Sat Mar 1 2025 NMZ223-226-233-239-240-020600- /O.CON.KABQ.HW.A.0003.250302T1200Z-250303T0000Z/ /O.CON.KABQ.HW.A.0004.250303T1700Z-250304T0200Z/ Central Highlands-South Central Mountains-Guadalupe County- Eastern Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves County- 233 PM MST Sat Mar 1 2025 ...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... ...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... * WHAT...For the first High Wind Watch, west winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph possible. For the second High Wind Watch, southwest winds 40 to 50 mph with gusts up to 65 mph possible. * WHERE...Central Highlands, Eastern Lincoln County, South Central Mountains, Guadalupe County, and Southwest Chaves County. * WHEN...For the first High Wind Watch, from late tonight through Sunday afternoon. For the second High Wind Watch, from Monday morning through Monday evening. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds could blow down trees and power lines. Power outages are possible. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Areas of blowing dust may reduce visibility below one-half mile at times. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts and warnings for updates. && $$URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 233 PM MST Sat Mar 1 2025 NMZ224-229-020600- /O.CON.KABQ.HW.A.0004.250303T1700Z-250304T0200Z/ South Central Highlands-Northeast Highlands- 233 PM MST Sat Mar 1 2025 ...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... * WHAT...Southwest winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph possible. * WHERE...South Central Highlands and Northeast Highlands. * WHEN...From Monday morning through Monday evening. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds could blow down trees and power lines. Power outages are possible. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Areas of blowing dust may reduce visibility below one mile at times. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts and warnings for updates. && $$ GuyerURGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 233 PM MST Sat Mar 1 2025 NMZ231-232-234-020600- /O.EXA.KABQ.HW.A.0004.250303T1700Z-250304T0200Z/ Harding County-Eastern San Miguel County-Quay County- 233 PM MST Sat Mar 1 2025 ...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... * WHAT...Southwest winds 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 60 mph possible. * WHERE...Quay County, Eastern San Miguel County, and Harding County. * WHEN...From Monday morning through Monday evening. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds could blow down trees and power lines. Power outages are possible. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Areas of blowing dust may reduce visibility below one mile at times. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts and warnings for updates. && $$
926 FXUS64 KMAF 012241 AFDMAF Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 441 PM CST Sat Mar 1 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 440 PM CST Sat Mar 1 2025 - High Wind Warning is in effect for the Guadalupe and Davis Mountains, as well as the plains of Eddy County, tomorrow morning through the evening. Wind advisories are in effect for surrounding areas. - A strong weather system moves over the region Sunday afternoon resulting in very windy conditions across the Guadalupe Mountains and portions of the Upper Trans Pecos with gusty winds elsewhere. A Fire Weather Watch has been issued for Sunday afternoon across most of the area. - An intense weather system moves across the area Monday afternoon through Tuesday. Very windy conditions are expected for a large portion of the area with patchy areas of blowing dust during this period. Widespread fire weather is expected for much of the Southern Great Plains. Fire Weather and Wind products will likely (70-90% chance) be necessary. &&
247 FXUS65 KABQ 012159 AFDABQ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 259 PM MST Sat Mar 1 2025 ...New SYNOPSIS, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, FIRE WEATHER... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 234 PM MST Sat Mar 1 2025 A series of multi-hazard Pacific storms will impact central and northern New Mexico tonight through next weekend: - Fire Weather: Elevated to locally critical fire weather conditions are likely in eastern New Mexico Sunday afternoon as westerly winds trend stronger. Critical fire weather conditions become more widespread on Monday afternoon when winds increase further and humidity drops. Strong winds stick around Tuesday, but a slight increase in moisture may limit critical conditions to only southeastern areas. - Strong Winds and Blowing Dust: Strong to damaging winds will create areas of blowing dust that may reduce visibility on roadways, including in Roswell, each afternoon Sunday through Tuesday, with the highest confidence on Monday. - Slick Travel: The first round of light rain and high elevation snow showers moves across the area Saturday night though Sunday, generating brief winter driving conditions. The second round of snow will favor northern New Mexico Monday through early Tuesday. - Outlook: Confidence is increasing in another round of strong winds and critical fire weather in central and eastern areas Thursday and Friday. A colder and wetter Pacific storm may bring more widespread precipitation as well. && .SYNOPSIS... Issued at 234 PM MST Sat Mar 1 2025 Strong to damaging wind gusts, critical fire weather conditions, and blowing dust will be the main concerns Sunday through Tuesday, with the greatest impacts on Monday when it will be the windiest and driest in most areas. A quick shot of rain and mountain snow will move across the area from west to east tonight through tomorrow, then another storm brings light snow to western and northern areas Monday and Tuesday. After a quiet Wednesday, winds increase again on Thursday and Friday ahead of yet another Pacific storm system. This storm has trended both colder and wetter than the two that will impact the area through Tuesday, although eastern New Mexico may once again see critical fire weather conditions late in the week before the moisture arrives. &&
462 FXUS64 KEPZ 012100 AFDEPZ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM 200 PM MST Sat Mar 1 2025 ...New KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION, FIRE WEATHER... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 200 PM MST Sat Mar 1 2025 - Breezy to windy conditions combined with dry air will create fire weather concerns through Tuesday. - Patchy blowing dust will be possible east of the Rio Grande on Sunday and across the entire region on Monday. - Temperatures will be a few degrees above average into Monday, then a little below average for Tuesday then back above average for the middle of next week. &&
There Are None So Blind As Those Who "Will - Not" To See...107.
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