Severe T-Storms -Heavy Rain/Flash Flooding Today & Saturday - Near Record Heat Next Week.
Artesia Tumble Weeds.
July 30, 2025.
Roswell Needle Grass.
Two More Days Of Rain Then Here Comes The Heat!
With the advent of our recent summer rains, the tumbleweed and needle grass pastures are faring very well in southeast New Mexico. So are the many different types of weeds in the state. Bad news for those who suffer from allergies this coming fall, winter, and spring. I'll still put up with them over the endless days of blowing dust we had this spring.
Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are forecast across parts of the state today into tomorrow before things calm down next week. Next week will be brutally hot in many areas, especially across the southern deserts and southeastern plains.
Severe thunderstorms will be possible in northeastern New Mexico today into this evening and again on Saturday. Burn scar flash flooding will once again torment the Ruidoso area. Flash flooding will also be possible in other areas of Lincoln County, across the northeastern and eastern plains, and parts of western New Mexico, including the San Augustine plains, today into this evening.
A Flood Watch is in effect for these areas through this evening.
An unusually strong upper-level ridge of high pressure will center itself over southeastern Arizona and southwestern New Mexico this weekend into the first of next week. By Tuesday, it will be directly overhead in central or south-central New Mexico, where it will wobble around for the rest of the week.
A few daily record high temps may be tied or broken next week as we dry out and bake underneath this massive dome of high pressure, which will stabilize the atmosphere and shut down most but not all thunderstorm activity.
Forecast highs across southeastern New Mexico will range from near 100 to near 107 Saturday and Sunday. And from the low 100s to near 108 all of next week. These temps will be very close to the daily records for the first week of August. Even temps in the Sacramento mountains will be near record-setting. Albuquerque will flirt with the century mark by next Wednesday and Thursday.
Selected Year-To-Date Rainfall Totals.
(January 1st - July 31st, 2025).
Edgewood CoCoRaHS 11.4 SSW 17.72"
Sapello 5.1 WNW CoCoRaHS 17.43"
Chacon 2.3 ENE CoCoRaHS 16.42"
Alto 7.4 W (Ski Apache) CoCoRaHS 16.36"
Shuree Snotel NE Of Red River 16.30"
Crossroads SCAN 15.87"
Ocate 3.7 WNW CoCoRaHS 15.61"
Sirrea Blanca Snotel Near Ski Apache 15.40"
Edgewood 1.8 SSE CoCoRaHS 15.31"
Elk Cabin Snotel East Of Santa Fe 15.30"
Springer 11.7 W CoCoRaHS 15.19"
McAlister 7.7 N CoCoRaHS 15.01"
Buck Mountain Near Si Apace 14.68"
Tucumari ASC NMCC 13.67"
Santa Fe Watershed Raws 12.69"
Clovis Municipal Airport AWOS 12.38"
Queen Raws WSW Of Carlsbad 11.61"
Bell Canyon PWS NW Of Mayhill 11.19"
Smokey Bear Raws Near Ruidoso 11.04"
10K Raws Sandia Mountains 10.98"
Ruidoso NWS Climate Co-Op Station 9.84"
Bat Draw Raws Carlsbad Caverns Natl Park 9.70"
Pinery Raws Guadalupe Mtns Natl Park 9.15"
Cloudcroft 0.4 ESE CoCoRaHS 9.02"
Mayhill Raws 8.91"
Dunken Raws 8.72"
Mescal Raws 8.34"
Carlsbad Airport ASOS 8.19"
Malaga NMCC 8.04"
Roswell Industrial Airport ASOS 7.79"
Hope 4.9 W NMCC 7.63"
Lakewood PWS 7.57"
My Home In NW Carlsbad 7.22"
Mountain Park NWS Climate Co-Op Station 6.06"
Artesia Airport AWOS 5.22"
Hobbs Airport AWOS 4.98"
Caprock Raws 4.66"
Silver City/Grant County Airport AWOS 4.32"
Farmington Airport ASOS 4.04"
Hope NWS Climate Co-Op Station 3.26"
Gallup Airport ASOS 2.51"
Grants Airport AWOS 2.47"
Note: The Cloudcroft NWS Climate Co-Op Station has missing data from May 11th through July 16th. The station is reporting again now, but this will show a deficiency in their monthly and yearly rainfall and temperature data for this period.
Saturday.
Sunday.
Monday.
Tuesday.
Wednesday.
Thursday.
Friday.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 1224 PM CDT Fri Aug 1 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1221 PM CDT Fri Aug 1 2025 - A weak cold front helps bring near to slightly below normal highs and low (10-30%) rain chances over the Davis Mountains and Permian Basin/Low Rolling Plains this afternoon. - Widespread triple digit temperatures begin on Sunday and continue through the first half of next week. Heat advisories may be needed for some locations, especially on Monday. &&
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 543 AM MDT Fri Aug 1 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 535 AM MDT Fri Aug 1 2025 - The monsoon moisture plume will remain over the area through Friday with locally heavy rainfall resulting in a flash flood risk, especially around burn scars, urban areas, locales with saturated ground, and poorly drained areas. - Severe thunderstorms will favor the northeast quadrant of New Mexico on Friday and Saturday, mainly during the afternoon and early evening hours. Large hail and damaging wind gusts will be the main hazards. - Daytime temperatures will increase for the early to middle portion of next week. There is high confidence in widespread moderate to locally major heat risk impacts, particularly for individuals without adequate cooling and hydration. &&
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM 1110 AM MDT Fri Aug 1 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1104 AM MDT Fri Aug 1 2025 - Isolated showers and thunderstorms through Saturday, favoring area mountains. Storms will be capable of heavy rainfall and gusty winds. - Hotter and much drier next week as high pressure aloft cuts off the flow of monsoon moisture. Lowland highs will reach triple digits each afternoon through next week. &&
Preliminary Local Storm Report...Summary
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1008 AM MDT Fri Aug 1 2025
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0400 PM Flash Flood 4 E Elk 32.94N 105.27W
07/30/2025 Chaves NM Trained Spotter
Rio Penasco overflowed its banks and flooded
pastures nearby.
0505 PM Flash Flood 1 WNW Ruidoso 33.33N 105.70W
07/30/2025 Lincoln NM Emergency Mngr
Water overtopping bridge.
0508 PM Flash Flood 2 SSW Alto 33.37N 105.69W
07/30/2025 Lincoln NM Emergency Mngr
Road Closed due to flooding.
0512 PM Flash Flood 1 N Ruidoso 33.34N 105.68W
07/30/2025 Lincoln NM Emergency Mngr
Fast moving water over Brady and Porr.
0518 PM Flash Flood 1 NNE Ruidoso 33.35N 105.67W
07/30/2025 Lincoln NM Emergency Mngr
Country Club Road closed due to flooding.
0521 PM Flash Flood Ruidoso 33.33N 105.67W
07/30/2025 Lincoln NM Emergency Mngr
Water out of the banks and flowing over the
road.
0522 PM Flash Flood 1 E Ruidoso 33.33N 105.66W
07/30/2025 Lincoln NM Emergency Mngr
Water overtopping Robin Road and River
Trail.
0524 PM Flash Flood 1 ENE Ruidoso 33.33N 105.67W
07/30/2025 Lincoln NM Emergency Mngr
Water overtopped bridge on Eagle.
0538 PM Flash Flood Hollywood 33.33N 105.63W
07/30/2025 Lincoln NM Emergency Mngr
Water overtopped bridge at Gavilan Canyon
Road.
0548 PM Flash Flood 1 ENE Hollywood 33.33N 105.63W
07/30/2025 Lincoln NM Emergency Mngr
SW Rescues performed. Number of people
unknown at this time.
0553 PM Flash Flood 2 SW Alto 33.37N 105.70W
07/30/2025 Lincoln NM Emergency Mngr
Spring Canyon road washed out and
impassable.
0558 PM Flash Flood 1 WSW Ruidoso Downs 33.33N 105.61W
07/30/2025 Lincoln NM Emergency Mngr
Water Overtopping the bridge on the access
road to the racetrack.
0600 PM Flash Flood 1 SSW Carrizozo 33.63N 105.89W
07/30/2025 Lincoln NM Emergency Mngr
EM reported 6 inches of moving water over
US-54 south of Carrizozo. Time estimated
based on radar.
0609 PM Flash Flood Ruidoso Downs 33.33N 105.61W
07/30/2025 Lincoln NM Emergency Mngr
Water flooding horse tunnel and headed into
Spaghetti flats to the north and east.
0619 PM Flash Flood 1 S Hollywood 33.31N 105.63W
07/30/2025 Lincoln NM Emergency Mngr
Adult woman rescued in SW operation. && $$
Preliminary Local Storm Report...Summary
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1006 AM MDT Fri Aug 1 2025
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1258 PM Flash Flood 1 WNW Ruidoso 33.33N 105.70W
07/31/2025 Lincoln NM Emergency Mngr
Water over the Road at Main Bridge 2.
1258 PM Flash Flood 1 NW Ruidoso 33.34N 105.69W
07/31/2025 Lincoln NM Public
Water flowing fast over the road at Perk and
Ebarb.
0119 PM Flash Flood 1 W Hollywood 33.32N 105.65W
07/31/2025 Lincoln NM Emergency Mngr
Bridge flooded.
0121 PM Flash Flood 1 N Ruidoso 33.35N 105.68W
07/31/2025 Lincoln NM Emergency Mngr
Closing Cedar Creek drive up to Musketball
due to flooding.
0152 PM Flash Flood 1 NNE Ruidoso 33.35N 105.67W
07/31/2025 Lincoln NM Emergency Mngr
Cree Meadows drive overtopped by 2 feet at
bridge.
0200 PM Flash Flood Ruidoso Downs 33.33N 105.61W
07/31/2025 Lincoln NM Emergency Mngr
Access road to Racetrack overtopped.
0215 PM Flash Flood 1 WNW Hollywood 33.33N 105.66W
07/31/2025 Lincoln NM Emergency Mngr
Fast moving water over Paradise road.
0321 PM Flash Flood 4 E Bonito Lake 33.45N 105.63W
07/31/2025 Lincoln NM Public
Fast moving water on Sandesta drive. Reports
of water entering homes.
0330 PM Flash Flood 2 NE Ruidoso 33.35N 105.66W
07/31/2025 Lincoln NM Emergency Mngr
Fast moving deep water over the road near
the schools.
0350 PM Flash Flood 2 SSE Alto 33.37N 105.66W
07/31/2025 Lincoln NM Emergency Mngr
Road impassable due to flooding.
0741 PM Debris Flow 3 WNW Red River Ski Are 36.70N 105.46W
07/31/2025 Taos NM Law Enforcement
Mudslide observed across State Highway 38 at
mile marker 9, a few miles west of Red
River. Both lanes are closed with no ETA as
to when the highway will reopen. && $$HRAP 3-Day Rainfall Totals.
New Mexico Year-To-Date CoRaHS Rainfall Totals.
(January 1st - July 31st, 2025).
There Are None So Blind As Those Who "Will - Not" To See...107.
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