Get Ready For Much Colder Weather & Maybe Some Snow By Weeks End.


October 19th, 2019.
Looking At Sierra Blanca Peak From The Ski Apace Gondola.

Winter Weather End Of This Week?


Valid At 6 AM MDT Friday, Oct 25th, 2019.


Valid At 6 AM MDT Friday, Oct 25th, 2019.


Valid At 6 AM MDT Friday, Oct 25th, 2019.

Model confusion leads to some unknowns concerning our local forecasts for the area Thursday into Friday. Both the European and the Canadian models drop a short wave trough of low pressure into Eastern New Mexico and West Texas and close if off as a closed mid-upper level low by early Friday. Naturally the GFS disagrees and sweeps the fast moving short wave trough of low pressure across the region Thursday into Friday. So will it snow or not in parts of the local area later this week?


Valid At 6 PM MDT Thursday, Oct 24th, 2019.

Valid At 6 AM MDT Friday, Oct 25th, 2019.

This mornings run of the Canadian forecast model (depicted above) indicates that snow will develop over parts of Northeastern and Eastern New Mexico Thursday into Friday morning behind a strong southward moving cold front. Likewise the European model agrees but the GFS keeps us high and dry with light snow barley clipping the far corner of Northeastern New Mexico. 

Canadian Temperature Forecast.

Valid At 6 AM MDT Friday, Oct 25th, 2019.

Snow or no snow its fixing to get cold once the front plows through Thursday. Strong gusty northerly winds will drop our temps down into the 20's according to the Canadian model forecast early Friday morning. If so then not only will we have our first widespread freeze of the season at the lower elevations but some of us could even experience a killing freeze with temps falling down close to 25ºF or lower. If not Saturday morning. More on all this later.

The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction - And Sometimes It Hurts!

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