Blast Furance Weather This Weekend.

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Blog updated at 10:40 PM MDT.
Blog updated at 9:40 PM MDT.
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Update at 10:40 PM MDT- 

"Little Bear Fire jumps line. Evacuating Bonito Drainage, South Fork, West Lake, North Eagle Campgrounds to Nazarene Church on Hwy 48."


"For Immediate Release: Wednesday, June 08, 2012, 17:00 p.m.
Smokey Bear RD Fire Information – (575) 257-4095
Detected: Monday, June 4, 2012 15:00 p.m. Cause: Lightning Strike Containment: unknown Location: White Mountain Wilderness, 15 miles North of Ruidoso, NM
Fuel Type: Mixed Conifer Terrain: Steep and Rugged

Summary: The fire is burning at high elevation in the White Mountain Wilderness. The steep, rugged terrain along with heavWildfirey accumulations of dead and down fuels, is making suppression difficult on the ground. It is burning in dense mixed conifer. Initial attack began the evening of 6/4/12. Smoke is very visible today from Ruidoso/Capitan/Carrizozo areas. It is anticipated that the smell of heavy smoke will drift down the mountain to the Village of Ruidoso overnight. A Type III Team has been ordered. Three Hotshot Crews are currently working the fire. Air Support has been called in. Containment was at 100 % this afternoon and due to changing weather conditions, the fire spotted out of the containment perimeter.
Current Size: estimated 100 acres and is burning on the Lincoln National Forest.
Current Fire Behavior: isolated torching and some crown runs expected due to high winds.
Resources: 4 Type I Hotshot Crews, Pecos Zone Type III Incident Management Team, and multiple aircraft assigned to the fire.
Structures Threatened: None at this time. Nearest structure is Spring Cabin 4 miles NE.
Closures: White Mountain Wilderness Trails # 19 and 44 will be closed. Trail #25 going North to Ski Apache will be closed as well along with the southern access to Trails 36 and 37.
Surface dew point temperatures are hovering near the 60-degree mark, and low clouds blanket eastern and southeastern New Mexico this morning. These will burn off by noontime.

A few scattered high based, mostly dry thunderstorms will be possible across the Guadalupe Mountains this afternoon. Dry lightning strikes will likely occur with any of these thunderstorms that manages to develop.

An upper-level storm will sweep across the northern states near the US and Canadian border this weekend. This will help generate a trough of low pressure southward down the lee of the Rockies and into southeastern New Mexico.

Near-record to record high temperatures will occur this weekend across southeastern New Mexico. Highs today will be in the mid 90's. High temperatures on Saturday are forecast to range from 103 to 107, and highs on Sunday are forecast to range from 102 to 104. I would not be surprised to see a few of the normally hotter locations such as Carlsbad, Lakewood, and the WIPP Site flirt with 110.

Blast furnace weather will return as hot, very dry, downslopping southwesterly winds develop Saturday afternoon and continue into Sunday evening. These winds will be sustained at around 15-25 mph with gusts near 35 mph.

Combine the ongoing drought, the winds, hot temperatures, and single digit relative humidity values, and you have the perfect recipe for Critically Dangerous Fire Weather Conditions over the area this weekend. A Fire Weather Watch is in effect for most of the state on Saturday.

Local Daily Record High Temperatures.

Roswell, NM ThreadEx-

Friday 106 2008+
Saturday 110 1896
Sunday 105 2010

Artesia Climate-

Friday 108 1910
Saturday 105 1939+
Sunday 107 1916

Carlsbad Climate-

Friday 109 1910
Saturday 108 1936
Sunday 109 1906

Carlsbad Airport-

Friday 108 1955
Saturday 107 1981
Sunday 106 2010

Hobbs Climate-

Friday 105 1981
Saturday 105 1981
Sunday 104 1927+

Tatum Climate-

Friday 101 2011+
Saturday 107 1981
Sunday 101 2011

Clovis Climate-

Friday 106 1917
Saturday 104 1981
Sunday 105 1981

Portales Climate-

Friday 104 1981
Saturday 105 1981
Sunday 102 2002+

Capitan Climate-

Friday 96 1990
Saturday 93 1981
Sunday 95 1936

Ruidoso Climate-

Friday 92 1952
Saturday 93 1953
Sunday 89 1944

Elk Climate-

Friday 103 1896
Saturday 103 1896
Sunday 94 1900

Cloudcroft Climate-

Friday 86 1955
Saturday 83 1953
Sunday 81 2010+

Temperature Data Is Courtesy Of-

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