Current Weather 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad, NM

Severe Thunderstorms Tuesday.

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Today is the second day of "Monsoon Awareness Week" in New Mexico. Yesterday's topic was "Introduction to the North American Monsoon System", today's topic is "Lightning."

A cold front is working its way southward through the area this morning. Our afternoon high temperatures are still going to be a little toasty this afternoon with highs in the mid-upper 90's. Tomorrow will see most of us in the low 90's. By Wednesday and the rest of the work week we will once again rise back up to the upper 90's to near 100.

A slightly cooler but more importantly a more moist airmass will overspread the area tomorrow. Our chances for thunderstorms will be on the increase across eastern and southeastern New Mexico. Most of us have a 20% - 40% chance of getting wet Tuesday into Wednesday night.

Severe thunderstorms will be possible across the area tomorrow afternoon into tomorrow night. At this time it appears that large hail, damaging thunderstorm wind gusts in excess of 60 mph, frequent deadly cloud to ground lightning will be the main threats.

Locally heavy rain will also be possible with the stronger storms which may cause localized flash flooding. This will be especially true over and near the burn scar areas from last years fires as well as this years. Especially across the Guadalupe and Sacramento Mountains.

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