Blog updated at 10:40 AM MDT.
Blog updated at 7:35 AM MDT.
Blog updated at 7:35 AM MDT.
Map is Courtesy Of The El Paso NWS Office.
SPC Day 1 Severe Weather Outlook At 7:20 AM MDT.
SPC Day 1 Severe Weather Outlook At 10:30 AM MDT.
SPC Day 1 Severe Weather Outlook At 7:20 AM MDT.
SPC Day 1 Severe Weather Outlook At 10:30 AM MDT.
One More Hot Day Today Then Cooler Into Wednesday.
A cold front will move into southeastern New Mexico and west Texas this afternoon. Cooler air will overspread the area behind the front tonight into Wednesday. Highs are forecast to drop down to near 90 to the low 90's on Tuesday, and the low-mid 90's on Wednesday.
Before the front arrives this afternoon we can expect another hot day with our afternoon highs similar to yesterday's readings. High temperatures on Sunday ranged from 102 at the Carlsbad and Roswell Airports, 100 at the Artesia Airport, to 99 at the Hobbs Airport. The Paduca Raws located near the WIPP Site hit 105, and the 8-Mile Draw Raws located northeast of Roswell reached 103.
Scattered thunderstorms are forecast to pop up along and behind the frontal boundary this afternoon and evening. Thunderstorm coverage across southeastern New Mexico is expected to be fairly isolated west of the Pecos River.
Areas along and east of the intersection of the surface low, dryline, and cold front will have the best chances of seeing measurable rainfall. West Texas will be the most active area, where some of the thunderstorms there may become severe. Although I would not completely rule out the possibility of a few severe thunderstorms in Lea County either.
A weak upper-level low is forecast to drift westward across northern Texas Tuesday into Thursday. This feature combined with a cooler more moist airmass that will be in place is forecast to enhance thunderstorm chances across parts of west Texas and eastern New Mexico. Its unclear this morning if this setup is going to increase our chances of seeing rain in southeastern New Mexico. At any rate by the end of the week an upper-level ridge of high pressure is forecast to strengthen over the area, so a return to hot temperatures and dry weather is anticipated.
June Weather In Southeastern New Mexico.
June can be a really interesting month for us weather-wise. It can either be a really hot month with days on end with temperatures at or above 100-degrees, or it can be a stormy and wet month. June can be a very active month for severe weather in southeastern New Mexico. In fact most of our tornadoes historically have occurred in June in New Mexico.
With the jet stream steadily retreating further to the north with each passing week, it is looking more and more like the end of our spring severe weather season here locally. However, do not let your guard down completely. Severe thunderstorms have occurred in every summer month, so just because the traditional spring severe weather season may be winding down, this does not mean that we still cannot experience severe weather.
June is usually, although not always, the month when we see our highest daily high temperatures for the summer. I'm betting that this June will lean more to the hot and dry side overall. Listed below are some of our local all-time highest temperatures for June, which interestingly enough, are also some of our all-time highest temperatures ever recorded.
WIPP Climate 122 June 27, 1994
Ochoa Climate (West of Jal) 118 June 28, 1994
Maljamar Climate 116 June 27, 1994
Artesia Climate 116 June 29, 1918
Hope Climate 115 June 26, 27 1994
Tatum Climate 115 June 28, 1994
Bitter Lakes Wildlife Refuge 114 June 28, 1994
Roswell ThreadEx 114 June 27, 1994
Carlsbad Climate 114 June 28, 1994
Hobbs Climate 114 June 27, 1998
Carlsbad Airport 113 June 27, 1994
Clovis Climate 110 June 25, 1990
Carlsbad Caverns Climate 110 June 28, 1994
Portales Climate 109 June 25, 2011, June 28, 1968, June 15, 1924
Elk Climate 106 June 15, 1896
Capitan Climate 101 June 25, 1990
Ruidoso Climate 98 June 26, 1994
Cloudcroft Climate 89 June 26, 1957
Temperature Records Are Courtesy Of-
The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!
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