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Yesterday afternoon the Storm Prediction Center issued a Severe Thunderstorm Watch for southeastern New Mexico, as well as for parts of west Texas. Thunderstorms failed to develop over the area in part due to the atmosphere being capped. A pocket of warm air at the mid-levels of the atmosphere effectively acted like a lid on a pot of boiling water and stifled any thunderstorm growth. This is not at all an uncommon occurrence. Its probably a good thing we didn't have an outbreak of thunderstorms, because the atmosphere was very unstable and moist, and any storms that could have managed to punch up through the cap would have had the potential to produce very large hail. This seems to be the year for large damaging hail events.
Hot weather will continue across southeastern New Mexico into at least the first of next week. Our afternoon high temperatures will continue to range from the upper 90's to the low 100's.
Scattered thunderstorms will dot the landscape into the weekend, with a little better chance for rain Friday and Saturday. Some of these storms may become locally severe at times and produce large hail and damaging thunderstorm wind gusts. There is a 30% chance of severe thunderstorms this evening across parts of west Texas east of the dryline.
This week is Monsoon Awerness Week in New Mexico. Today's theme is "Thunderstorm Downburst Winds & Duststorms."
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