Tropical Storm Issac Slowly Strengthening.






 Valid At 6 PM MDT Monday Aug 27, 2012.

 At 6 PM MDT Thursday Aug 30, 2012.


06Z/Midnight MDT GFDL Wind Swathe Forecast.


Tropical Storm Issac is slowly strengthening. As of 6 AM MDT, Issac had sustained winds of 45 mph with gusts near 60 mph. His central pressure continues to slowly drop, and was down to 29.65 inches of mercury, or 1004 millibars. Issac was located near 15.7 N and 58.4 W, or about 210 miles east of the island of Guadeloupe. Issac continues to clip along to the west at a rather fast pace of 19 mph.

Issac is over warm waters, and the deep layer wind shear and the mid level wind shear have dropped to below 10 knots. A further decrease of this shear to less than 5 knots is forecast within 24-hours. Conditions appear favorable for Issac to continue strengthening today, and the official National Hurricane Forecast calls for Issac to become a Hurricane by 48 hours. Its possible that Issac may become a hurricane today. A large central dense overcast is visible on this mornings satellite images with cloud top temperatures dropping down to -82C to -86C, or -116F to -123F.

A lot of speculation is ongoing about where Issac is headed. A number of factors could help determine Issac's eventual track across the Caribbean, the Gulf of Mexico, or up the Eastern US Seaboard. An upper-level trough of low pressure is still forecast to drop into the Southeastern US and the northern Gulf of Mexico, creating a weakness in the ridge of high pressure. If Issac tracks over the mountains of the Dominican Republic and Haiti this weekend, his circulation could get disrupted by these mountains and weaken the storm.  

 If Issac tracks further to the west than is currently being forecast, he could possibly head more towards the central Gulf of Mexico next week. Last nights 00Z run of the European model depicts this. The GFS model on the other hand continues to track the storm further to the east, into Florida, and possibly along the East Coast.

It should be noted that the exact track that Issac will take this weekend into next week is not set in stone, and may change in time. Everyone living along the Gulf Coast of Mexico, in Florida, and the Eastern Coast of the US should keep up to date concerning this potentially dangerous Hurricane. 

The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!

 My Web Page Is Best Viewed With Google Chrome.

Comments

My Current Davis Vantage Pro Plus Weather

Storm Prediction Center

Storm Prediction Center
Severe Weather Outlooks/Watches - Click On The Map To Open It.

NWS 12-Hour Surface Map Forecast

NWS 12-Hour Surface Map Forecast
Click On The Map To Open It Up.

NWS Watch/Warning/Hazards Map

NWS Watch/Warning/Hazards Map
Click On The Map To Go To The Live Link.

Current New Mexico NWS Watches/Warnings In Effect

NWS Midland Web Page

NWS Midland Web Page
Click On The Map To Open It Up

NWS Midland Regional Forecast

Eddy County Watches & Warnings

Lea County Watches & Warnings

Culberson County - Guadalupe Mtn's Watches & Warnings

NWS Albuquerque Web Page

NWS Albuquerque Web Page
Click On The Map To Open It Up

NWS Albuquerque Regional Forecasts.

Chaves County Watches & Warnings

Lincoln County Watches & Warnings

NWS El Paso Web Page

NWS El Paso Web Page
Click On The Map To Open It Up

NWS El Paso/Santa Teresa Regional Forecasts.

Otero County Watches & Warnings

NWS Lubbock Web Page

NWS Lubbock Web Page
Click On The Map To Open It Up

NWS Lubbock Regional Forecasts.

Current Temperatures

Current Temperatures
Click On The Map To Go To The Live Link

Current Wind Chill & Heat Index

Current Wind Chill & Heat Index
Click On The Map To Go To The Live Link

National Radar

National Radar
Click On The Map To Enlarge It

Regional Radar

Regional Radar
Click On The Map To Enlarge It

CoCoRaHS Daily Rainfall Map

My Photo Slide Show

Cloudcroft Live Webcam