Tropical Storm Ernesto. Tuesday Aug 7, 2012.

IR AVN Satellite Image Of TS Ernesto At 5:45 AM MDT.

Satellite Images Of TS Ernesto At 5:45 AM MDT.

Sea Surface Temperatures.

NHC Forecast Track Of TS Ernesto.

Forecast Tracks Of TS Ernesto.

GFDL Hurricane Forecast Model.

Tropical Storm Ernesto was located about 250 miles east of Belize City at 6 AM MDT this morning. He now has sustained winds of 65 mph with higher gusts. His central pressure is falling once again, and is down to 29.20" or 989 millibars this morning. Ernesto is clipping along to the west-northwest at 13 mph.

Once again the cyclone spent the day yesterday ingesting dry air, and this significantly hindered any chance of it becoming a Hurricane as forecast. Ernesto has proven to be a rather difficult storm to forecast. Once again he is forecast to become a Hurricane within 24-hours before he makes landfall in Belize or the Yucatan Peninsula by Wednesday. 

Tropical Storm Ernesto is forecast to produce as much as 12" of rain over Belize, the southern Yucatan Peninsula, and northern Guatemala. Life threatening mudslides and flash flooding will occur in these areas once he moves inland.

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