Current Weather 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad, NM

Get Ready - A Major Winter Storm Is Headed Our Way!


Valid @ 11 AM MST This Morning.

Valid @ 5 AM MST Tuesday.

18Z/11 AM MST GFS Accumulated Snowfall Forecast.
Valid @ 5 AM MST Tuesday.

12Z/5 AM MST GEM Accumulated Snowfall Forecast.
Valid @ 5 AM MST Tuesday.

12Z/5 AM MST ECMWF Total Snowfall Forecast.
Valid @ 5 AM MST Tuesday.

12Z/5 AM MST NAM Accumulated Snowfall Forecast.
Valid @ 5 PM MST Monday.

18Z/11 AM MST NAM/WRF Total Accumulated Snowfall Forecast.
Valid @ 11 PM MST Sunday.

Light freezing drizzle, light freezing rain, and freezing fog have been ongoing across the local area since early this morning. Some of our local roadways have icy spots on them with icing occurring on exposed surfaces. This will continue tonight into tomorrow. Our temperatures will continue to hover at or near the freezing mark although the wind chill will make it feel much colder.

As of noontime today our potent upper-level storm (cutoff from the jet stream flow to the north of it) was parked just off the southern California coast. The forecast models continue their recent trends of slowly dragging this storm eastward and into the state by Sunday. Just exactly what track it will take is going to determine where the heaviest snows will fall. The mountains continue to look like they are going to get clobbered with heavy snowfall totals. Some of the higher east facing slopes may end up getting between one and two feet out of this storm, if not more in a few isolated spots.

Winter Weather Advisories, Winter Storm Watches, and Winter Storm Warnings are in effect across the local area, all of New Mexico, and parts of west Texas. There will be somewhat of a lull in the storm tonight into tomorrow, expect for the freezing drizzle and freezing rain that is ongoing east of the mountains across the plains. 

Things will really begin to ramp up and go down hill Saturday afternoon into Sunday as the potent upper-level storm to our west begins to approach the state. Dangerous winter weather driving conditions that now exists will only get worse with time. Snow some of which will be heavy, blowing and possibly drifting snow will be an issue on most of the states roads as well as across parts of west Texas. Difficult and dangerous driving conditions are expected, and some areas it simply may become impossible to go anywhere. 

Here in southeastern New Mexico it now appears that we may end up with 4" - 8" of snow out of this storm. Some of us could even see more than this, especially over and near the mountains. Current thinking is that the storm will not clear the area now until Tuesday.

Please visit the following National Weather Service Offices
 for the very latest on this impending Major Winter Storm-

Amarillo

Lubbock

Midland

El Paso

Albuquerque

The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!

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