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Showing posts from 2024

Peak Wind Gusts Today - Next Weeks Cold?

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December 29, 2024. Sierra Blanca Peak West Of Ruidoso, NM. What Is Wrong With This Picture? Sierra Blanca Peak west of Ruidoso, New Mexico, is almost snow-free, which paints a pretty good picture of how dry, mild, and snowless this winter has been thus far. When will this change? Maybe in about a week or ten days? Just how cold, how much snow falls, and where is still highly questionable.    Meanwhile, social media has gone nuts with posts about the potential of a major arctic intrusion into the nation in about a week. Some have claimed that this will be the worst arctic outbreak since 1994. Really? The hype around this is insane. What bothers me is how many people are jumping on the bandwagon all claiming or predicting a winter doomsday. Honestly, it's ridiculous, and a lot of those who are doing this know better. There isn't a forecast model out there that is accurate 14 to 16 days out in time. I'm not saying that a significant intrusion of arctic air isn't possible n...

It Can't Get Much More Boring Than This.

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November 28, 2024. Foggy In The Mayhill Area. La Niña In Full Control Of  Our Winter This Year. We would be hard pressed to find a more boring, uneventful, relatively calm early start to our New Mexico winter than what we've had for weeks now. Outside of the major winter storm, blizzard, that hammered parts of the state during the first week of November it has been unusually calm weather-wise. Especially here in the southeastern plains and south-central mountains (Sac's).  This isn't going to change anytime soon it appears. Long-range forecast models are not picking up on any major winter storms headed our way over the next week to ten days.  More bad news for the ski industry and the snow pack.   A passing storm across northern New Mexico this coming weekend into next Monday will produce breezy to windy conditions across parts of the state. Along with abnormally warm temps across the area. Highs on Monday may approach 80F here in the Pecos Valley.  This pattern...

Strong Cold Front Brings Some Of The Coldest Temps Of The Season.

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November 28, 2024. Cloudcroft Ski Resort.  Real-Time Regional Temperatures (RTMA). (At 3:30 PM MST Monday, December 9, 2024.  Real-Time Regional Apparent Temperatures (RTMA). (At 3:30 PM MST Monday, December 9, 2024.  Surface Map Forecast. Valid At 5 PM MST Monday, December 9, 2024. 

Fast Moving Thanksgiving Storm.

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November 2, 2024. 7 Miles West Of Eunice, NM. Large Rotating Wall Cloud With A Beavers Tail. Q uick Hitting Storm For Thanksgiving. My cover photo was taken 7 miles west of Eunice in Lea County on November 2, 2024. Looking west along St Hwy 176 at a rotating large bell-shaped wall cloud with a beaver's tail. A couple of brief tornadoes formed on the southern end of the wall cloud.   Here is a quick update since Mother Nature has decided to change her mind somewhat concerning our Thanksgiving storm. A rather fast-moving storm will produce up to an additional 5" of new snowfall over the Tusas mountains, including the Chama area today. Strong westerly winds will continue to rake the central mountain chain and nearby eastern slopes today. Westerly winds sustained to 30 - 35 mph with gusts to 50-55 mph are forecast.  Westerly winds sustained at 30 - 40 mph with gusts near 65 mph are forecast for the Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy and Culberson Counties. High temps today will be i...

Thanksgiving Week Forecast.

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November 2, 2024. Shelf Cloud NE Of Carlsbad, NM. Blog Updated At 2:22 PM MST Monday, Nov 25, 2024.  Surface Map Forecast. Valid At 5 PM MST Wednesday, Nov 27, 2024. My cover photo was taken 20 miles northeast of Carlsbad on the Hobbs Hwy (US 62/180) on November 2nd, 2024. A nice shelf cloud formed after this severe thunderstorm became outflow dominant. A cold front will keep the eastern half of the state slightly cooler than normal today. A quick warmup will occur Tuesday and Wednesday as strong dry downsloping winds kick in along the northern and central mountains and the northeast highlands with gusts in the 50-60 mph range. It will also be windy across southern and southeastern New Mexico especially on Wednesday with westerly gusts in the 40-50 mph range expected. Highs across southeastern New Mexico Wednesday afternoon will be som 15-20 degrees above normal with readings near 80. These winds will likely be strong in the Guadalupe mountains on Wednesday...approaching the High W...

NM Storm Summary November 19, 2024.

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October 11, 2024  Alamo Peak South Of Cloudcroft, NM.  5-Day HRAP 4 KM Precipitation Totals.  Valid At 5 AM MST Monday, Nov 18, 2024.  5-Day NOHRSC Snowfall Totals.  Valid At 5 AM MST Monday, Nov 18, 2024.  72-Hour Precipitation & Snowfall Totals.

Quick Hitting Winter Storm Today Into Monday Morning!

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October 19, 2024. Large Rotating Wall Cloud. About 12 Miles North Of Dunken, NM. 16 Miles NW of Me Near The Eddy/Chaves Co Line.  A supercell thunderstorm developed fairly rapidly along the east slopes of the Sacramento mountains north of Dunken, in southwestern Chaves County on the afternoon of Saturday, Oct 19th, 2024. I chased this storm northward along St Hwy 13 all the way to Roswell. It never did produce a tornado as far as I could see but the wall cloud was very photogenic and cycled several times.  A line of intense thunderstorms developed in this after that evening and very slowly edged northeastward. Multiple training thunderstorms within this line of thunderstorms later produced the historic excess rainfall and the devastating flash flooding in Roswell . Measured rainfall totals in the city generally averaged 4" to 6". Several locations exceed 7" and a couple of reporting Personal Weather Stations (PWS) reported 8" to 10.86".  Quick Hitting Winter St...

Saturday, Nov 2nd, 2024 Eddy County Hailstorm - Our Next Winter Storm Arrives This Weekend.

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November 2, 2024. 1 Mile NW Of Seven Rivers, NM. Hail, Hail Drifts, And Hail Fog On White Pine Rd. A severe thunderstorm (rare for November) dropped golf ball to tennis ball size hail in the Seven Rivers and Lakewood areas on Saturday, November 2, 2024. I took my photos nearly an hour after the storm had ended. Even so, I still picked up numerous golf ball to hen egg size hailstones in the area. My brother measured 1.30" of rain along with hen egg-sized hail at his ranch 2 miles north of Lakewood. 

Winter Storm Summary - Saturday, Nov 9, 2024.

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October 11, 2024. Alamo Peak South Of Cloudcroft, NM. Blog Update Monday, Nov 11, 2024. Ski Apache. 10:35 AM MST Saturday, Nov 9, 2024. NWS 72-Hour Snowfall Map. NWS 72-Hour Snowfall Total Reports. NOHRSC 5-Day Snowfall.  Tue Nov 5 - Sat Nov 9, 2024.

Blizzard Warnings For NE New Mexico!

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Water Vapor Satellite Image. At 11:21 AM MST. RAP 500 MB (18,000' MSL) Analysis. At 10 AM MST on Thursday, Nov 7, 2024. New Mexico Roads. NWS Albuquerque Blizzard/Winter Storm Warnings. NWS Albuquerque On X.

Major Widespread Winter Storm Underway!

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NWS NDFD Storm Total Snowfall Forecast. Valid Today Through 5 AM MST Sunday. New Mexico Road Conditions. As Of 5:30 AM MST Thursday Morning. New Mexico Power Outages. As Of 6:30 AM MST Thursday. Major Widespread Winter Storm Underway. Road closures, downed Power lines, and a heavy wet snow are already causing problems across the northern one-half of New Mexico early this Thursday morning (7 AM MST). Early snowfall reports this morning indicate that 12.0" has fallen in Las Vegas, 12.0 " 10.1 SSE of Tijeras, 10.0" 1 mile SSW of Moriarty, and 9.1" in Cedar Crest. With much more to come.   NWS Albuquerque Winter Storm Warnings/Advisories.

Widespread Very Heavy Snowfall From Seasons First Major Winter Storm!

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October 11, 2024. Alamo Peak, South Of Cloudcroft, NM. NWS Albuquerque Winter Storm Warnings & Forecasts! Winter Storm Severity Index. NWS El Paso/Santa Teresa Forecasts. Winter Storm Severity Index. Updated Forecasts Winter Storm Warnings/Advisories! A major widespread winter storm is forecast to impact much of New Mexico this afternoon into Friday. Significant travel disruptions, power outages, very heavy snowfall, and blowing and drifting snow with near-blizzard conditions along with near-zero visibility at times, are forecast for parts of the northern half of the state. This storm has to potential to produce life-threatening conditions in the warning areas. Widespread road closures will be possible in these areas. Travel on some roads and highways will become impossible. This will be a three-day long duration event.  The Albuquerque National Weather Service Office has increased their storm total snowfall amounts across the northern half of the state. Some communities will m...

Buckle Up The Seasons First Major Winter Storm!

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Sunset. November 2, 2024. Eunice, New Mexico. Surface Map Forecast. Valid At 5 AM MST Thursday. Major Impacts Across New Mexico Expected  From Seasons First Widespread Major Winter Storm! Our departing winter storm that dropped heavy snow across the northern mountains of New Mexico as of yesterday afternoon was somewhat of a dissapointment snow-wise in the Sacramento mountains. And rainfall-wise across parts of the southeastern plains. But  our next inbound major widespread winter storm should make up for it at least as far as snowfall is concerned in the Sacramento and Capitan mountains.

Unusual For November - Severe T-Storms/Heavy Rains/Flash Flooding!

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October 11, 2024. Alamo Peak South Of Cloudcroft, NM. Severe t-storms, heavy rainfall, and a flash flood threat tonight through Saturday across the southeastern plains. The Sacramento mountains will see snow developing Sunday into Monday. Another round of winter weather for the state late next week. 

Summer Has Finally Given Up - Here Comes Fall.

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October 11, 20224. Cloudcroft, New Mexico.  Don't forget to fall back, or set your clocks back, an hour this Sunday morning at 2 AM.   Summer Has Finally Given Up - Here Comes Fall. 

Current National Weather Service Watches/Warnings In Effect.

New Mexico

Chaves County Plains & Mtn's

Eddy County

Culberson County

Lea County

Lincoln County

Otero County

Current US Temps

Current US Wind Chill/Heat Index Temperatures

WPC 7-Day Precipitation Forecast

Roswell Live EarthCam

Ruidoso Live Webcam

Cloudcroft Live Webcam

NWS Midland 3-Day Precipitation Forecast

NWS Midland 3-Precipitation Chances

New Mexico 3-Day Precipitation Forecast

New Mexico Precipitation Chances

NWS El Paso 3-Day Precipitation Forecast

NWS El Paso Precipitation Chances

New Mexico 3-Day Snowfall Forecast

New Mexico Snowfall Chances

NWS El Paso 3-Day Snowfall Forecast

NWS El Paso Snowfall Chances

US 24-Hour Precipitation Forecast

US 3-Day Precipitation Forecast

US 24-Hour Snowfall Forecast

US 3-Day Snowfall Forecast