Current Conditions 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad, NM

T-Storms Return Friday.


Valid @ 6 AM MDT Friday.

A change will be coming our way by Friday according to this mornings GFS computer model forecasts. Rain will once again enter the picture as a short wave trough of low pressure works its way northward into the area from Mexico. This is depicted by the vorticity (red and yellow shaded area over southwest Texas and southern New Mexico) forecast above. Low-level upslope flow from the Gulf of Mexico will increase thus providing the fuel for thunderstorms, and this area of vorticity, or lift will help in firing off those thunderstorms.

Valid @ Midnight MDT Friday Night.

Rainfall totals of around .50" to 1.00" are being forecast by this mornings run of the GFS computer forecast model for parts of the local by midnight Friday. This would be very welcome should it pan out. Some of us could get more than this, and some of us may not get this much. Thus the hit and miss nature of summertime thunderstorms.



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