Current Weather 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad, NM

Rough Week Ahead!

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High Winds-Blowing Dust-Extreme Fire Weather Danger This Week!

It has been a nice couple of days weather-wise here in SE NM. The nights have been seasonably cool and the afternoons mild, and best of all, no wind. Just about everyone I know has been asking me, when is it going to rain? The short answer remains the same...not anytime soon.

When I was a kid growing up in Artesia, a farmer told me this years ago. Do you know when the wind will quit blowing in New Mexico? When it rains. When will it rain? When the wind quits blowing. There is a lot of truth in that statement.

Speaking of the wind blowing, we can expect southerly winds to kick up tomorrow afternoon at around 10-20 mph with a few higher gusts. Tuesday will see the hot, dry, downslopping southwesterly winds return at around 20-25 mph with higher gusts.

Meanwhile the dryline is forecast to become established across West Texas by Tuesday. A few severe thunderstorms may be possible along and east of the dryline. The best chances for this appears at this time to be across the eastern Permian Basin Tuesday afternoon and evening. A few severe thunderstorms may also erupt along the eastern NM/TX State line Tuesday afternoon.

Strong/Cold Upper Level Storm Dives Towards NM!

As an unusually deep and cold upper level storm dives southeastward out of the Great Basin towards the Four Corners Area by Wednesday, strong southwesterly winds will likely return to much of the area Wednesday afternoon. Once again, this next inbound upper level storm is forecast to track across northern New Mexico and southern Colorado, therefore SE NM will experience the hot, dry, windy side of the storm. Rain will continue to elude the area.


High Winds-Blowing Dust-Extreme Fire Danger Wed!

Southern New Mexico and possibly southeastern New Mexico may see these winds gust up to 60 mph Wednesday afternoon. Some gusts along the east facing slopes of the mountains of southern New Mexico may be as high as 70 mph. Please see these links for the Special Weather Statement that was issued by the El Paso NWS Office this morning concerning this upcoming event.

Critically Dangerous Fire Weather Conditions will return to southern New Mexico on Monday, and then overspread the rest of the area Tuesday and Wednesday. The latest update on the Mayhill Fire at 9:30 AM this morning states that the fire is 75% contained. It has burned 31,861 acres, destroyed four homes, three other buildings, and nine outbuildings. 540 firefighters are still working on extinguishing the fire and they are hoping for 100& containment by Tuesday.

The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!

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Dangerous Sunspot AR3112

Dangerous Sunspot AR3112
WHEN WILL THE NEXT CME ARRIVE? A magnetic filament in the sun's southrn hemisphere erupted on Oct. 4th, hurling part of itself into space. The emerging CME will pass mostly to the south of our planet, but a fraction could graze Earth's magnetic field on Oct. 8th. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for minor geomagnetic storms and auroras on that date.

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