My Current Weather

Monday, December 12, 2011

Wild Week Ahead For New Mexico.

Map Is Courtesy Of The El Paso NWS Office.

5-Day Precipitation Forecast.
(Valid Today - Sat Morning)

Blog updated at 10:00 PM MST.

Special Web Briefing From NWS Albuquerque.


A Dense Fog Advisory remains in effect for Eddy, Lea, and Culberson Counties here in southeastern New Mexico until 9 AM MST. Visibilities across these areas will drop down to less than 1/4 of a mile, so please drive safely out there. The fog is forecast to burn off later this morning, but is forecast to return to parts of the area once again tonight.

If you like dreary, damp, foggy weather then you should have been happy with this weekends weather. Low clouds and fog have prevailed from Friday night into this morning. Our skies will continue to be cloudy today into Wednesday, as mid and high level clouds stream northeastward from off of the Pacific Ocean ahead of our next winter storm.

Our chances for rain showers, and maybe even a clap or two of thunder will be going up this afternoon into Wednesday morning. A strong closed upper-level low will park itself over southern California today, and then slowly wobble its way eastward, as it opens up and crosses over the state by Wednesday.

Our chances for rain today into Wednesday morning locally are around 20% - 30%. Our high temperatures are forecast to be around 50 today, warming up into the mid 60's tomorrow, and the mid-upper 60's on Wednesday. A Pacific cold front will sweep across the area by Wednesday which will knock our daytime highs back down into the 50's on Thursday and Friday.

A Flood Watch has been issued by the El Paso NWS Office for parts of Southwestern New Mexico (Grant and Hidalgo Co's) from noon today into Tuesday evening. Some areas of the Gila could end getting 2" to 2.5" of rain. Lucky them.

Very heavy mountain snowfall totals are forecast for parts of western and northern New Mexico from this storm. A Winter Storm Warning is in effect for these areas. Some of the higher elevations may be measuring storm total snowfall amounts greater than one foot by Wednesday. For additional information on these impacts across New Mexico, please visit the Albuquerque NWS web page.

Snow is forecast to fall across the Sacramento Mountains mainly above 7,500'. The heaviest snows should occur Tuesday into Wednesday morning. 1" - 4" of new snow is possible, and some of the higher elevations may see a few inches more.

Major Winter Storm For The Weekend?

A second, and very deep upper-level storm is still on track to dive south into southern California by Friday. This much is pretty clear...the rest of next weekends forecast is not. The GFS model still wants to swing this next winter storm across the state by Sunday. The European model (ECMWF) closes the low off near the Baja Region, and then very slowly draws it eastward across northern Mexico, south of Arizona into Sunday.

Arctic air may return to the area by Thursday or Friday. Low-level easterly upslope flow will funnel surface moisture westward across the state, which may interact with the storm. Right now it appears that we could possibly be looking at a mixed bag of wintry precipitation across SE NM next weekend with the potential for heavy mountain snowfall.

The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!

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