Rain Coming To The Plains.

Our Weather Tonight Into Friday Afternoon.

Snapshot of the El Paso NWS Doppler Radar at 5:46 PM
MST. Courtesy of My SE NM Radar.

Snapshot of the the Tucson, AZ NWS Doppler Radar

(248 NM Composite Reflectivity) image at 4:23 PM MST,

using GRLevel3.

Snapshot of the the El Paso, TX NWS Doppler Radar

(248 NM Composite Reflectivity) image at 4:30 PM MST,

using GRLevel3.

Goes West 1 KM Infrared Satellite Image At 4:15 PM MST.

RUC 500 MB Heights & Vorticity Analysis At 2 PM MST.

Good evening everyone. I hope you had a great Thanksgiving today, I know I did. Spent the day with my wife, daughters, and granddaughter. I deep fried two turkeys, and my wife prepared the side dishes and desserts. It was cool enough this morning while I was frying our turkeys, that I fired up the Chiminea out on the back patio. It was a beautiful day weather-wise...can't beat it for Thanksgiving. My high temp here at the house in Carlsbad was 71 after a morning low of 32.

Remnant tropical moisture associated with Tropical Storm Kenneth, is finally being pulled northeastward this Thanksgiving afternoon, by the short wave trough of low pressure located over southern California. Mid and high level clouds have been streaming into southeastern New Mexico since late morning. These clouds will thicken and lower tonight.

Scattered rain showers and a few thunderstorms are breaking out over northern Mexico as seen on the Tucson, and El Paso NWS Doppler Radar snapshots above. Click on these to enlarge them.

NAM-WRF 4 KM Composite Reflectivity Radar Forecast.

Valid At 7 AM MST Friday Morning.

These rain showers and thunderstorms will increase in aerial coverage and spread northward, and eastward throughout the night. This can be seen in the simulated radar forecast above. We can expect to see these showers reach southeastern New Mexico after about midnight tonight.

Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms will dominate our local weather into tomorrow afternoon. It appears that most of SE NM could see rainfall totals of around .25" to perhaps .50" with this storm. As always with any thunderstorm, a few spots could pick up higher amounts.

As has been discussed the past couple of days the snow levels will be high with this incoming storm due to the lack of cold air in place, and the tropical nature of the airmass that will overspread the area.

Snow levels tonight into tomorrow morning will generally be around 9,000' or above. They will lower through the day tomorrow. 1"- 3" of new snow is expected to fall across the Sacramento Mountains above 8,000'. Ski Apache with a base of 9,600' will likely see higher totals. This will be good news for them since they officially opened their season today.

NWS HPC 2-Day Rainfall Total Forecast.